The opposition and the road to 2024
On the road to 2024, the opposition parties have the opportunity to strengthen themselves, but if they do not find a strong “narrative”, some parties such as the PRI or the PRD are in danger of even losing their registration at the local level, so the specialists foresee a reconfiguration, although everything will depend on the next elections and the results obtained by Morena.
Héctor Llerena, professor at ITAM and the UNAM Social Research Instituteconsidered that the 2024 election will undoubtedly be a “plebiscitary” contest to find out if “andrésmanuelismo” continues or not. And he stressed that the elections that are taking place at that time will be good to measure if polarization begins to undermine his relatives. and supporters of the Federal Executive, however, he said that as long as the opposition does not have a narrative and a narrator on this path, it will be difficult for it to advance.
The narrative will be built on the 22nd and 23rd, Edomex is going to weigh heavily, but in the end, the issue is going to be how the opposition will position itself, which has to work to be a real counterweight, it would have to generate a narrative, but it needs a narrator, without narrator there is no narrative. It takes a face.”
Héctor Llerena, professor at ITAM and the UNAM Social Research Institute.
Gisela Rubrach emphasized that although 2024 is still far away and attention should be paid to the previous elections: if Morena wins four or five governorships of the eight that would be at stake, which would give “encouragement to the opposition.” “Definitely the prelude is the year that comes with the State of Mexico and Coahuila,” she said, explaining that although she does not define the presidential election, it is an engine of political reconfiguration.
For Rodrigo Galván De las Heras, General Director of De las Heras Demotechnicswhat has been seen in the last elections show that it will be complicated for the Va por México alliance, made up of PRI, PAN and PRD, although if Aguascalientes and Durango win this year, and the State of Mexico and Coahuila, in 2023, they can gain strength towards the 2024 federals.
“If this year the alliance wins Durango, Aguascalientes, how could it be, next year they win Coahuila and the State of Mexico, they can take on an important force for the following year, for me the alliance is born losing, even if they win that and go in alliance in on the 24th, it seems to me that by making an alliance and polarizing the entire election, they are going to make it easier for Morena,” he said.