Lula and Bolsonaro: the moment of truth in the most tense ballot in the history of Brazil

Lula and Bolsonaro: the moment of truth in the most tense ballot in the history of Brazil

Debate this Friday between Bolsonaro and Lula / Photo AFP

With a scenario of technical tie in the polls, but with a slight advantage of the former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva before the president Jair BolsonaroBrazilians will attend this Sunday the ballot of the most important election since the end of the military dictatorship in 1985.

Lula, who made a caravan on Paulista Avenue in São Paulo in which Former Uruguayan President José ‘Pepe’ Mujica participateddenounced that there is a “fake news machine” in social networks in the last few hours against him driven by Bolsonaroism” and that Bolsonaro, in case of defeat, will have to accept the result.

President Bolsonaro, meanwhile, participated in a motorcycle caravan through Belo Horizonte, the capital of Minas Gerais, alongside Governor Romeu Zema, in a bid to twist the course of the election in that state, which is considered key to achieving majorities. , being the second district in number of voters after San Pablo.

The previous elections had a dramatic event this Saturday, with the Bolsonarist deputy Carla Zambelli being filmed chasing a Lulista black person with a gun with whom he allegedly exchanged a few words in the Jardins neighborhood, one of the elite places in São Paulo, 800 meters from where Lula’s caravan was with thousands of people.

The electoral law prohibits civilians from carrying weapons even if authorized 24 hours before the election to avoid political violence.

In São Paulo, Lula received the national and foreign press before his caravan. There, next to Mujica, he was confident that the Brazilian people will decide “for change” and advocated that President Jair Bolsonaro admit an eventual defeat in the presidential ballot in Brazil.

Pepe Mujica and Lula Photo AFP
Pepe Mujica and Lula / AFP Photo

“We have all the conditions to win tomorrow”Lula affirmed at a press conference in São Paulo before taking a walk along Avenida Paulista, next to the candidate for governor of São Paulo from the Workers’ Party (PT), Fernando Haddad.

Lula denounced “a machine of lies launched this Saturday by Bolsonarism” on social networks, where he accuses him of wanting to impose taxes on monotributistas and micro-entrepreneurs.

The candidate of a coalition of parties led by the PT recalled that in all the elections in which he participated there were never any problems recognizing the results, alluding to the rejection of the voting system expressed by the current president of Brazil throughout the campaign.

Telam SE

In this sense, in another section of the press conference, Lula stated that he does not know if Bolsonaro will be willing to initiate a transition or hand over the presidential sash on January 1. “For me, let those of the town pass me the band, a hundred workers pass me the band”held.

In any case, he clarified that he does not want to “sit down in the presidential chair before his time,” citing an old case in Brazilian politics, when former president Fernando Henrique Cardoso lost the mayoralty of São Paulo in 1985 to Janio Quadros and came out on the cover of the magazines sitting in the mayor’s chair a week before the elections.

Lula’s allies also mobilized in Sao Paulo, as was the case of Simone Tebet, third placed, of the Brazilian Democracy Movement (MDB), who called for the undecided vote for Lula.

More than 150 million voters are called to elect a president this Sunday for the period 2023-2026. It is the first time that an incumbent president lost the first round seeking re-election. Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Lula and Dilma Rousseff did not go through that situation.

The far-right president lost to Lula by 48.4% against 43.3% in the first roundafter which there were four weeks of the most violent and tense political and discursive campaign in history.

Simone Tebet, third placed, of the Brazilian Democracy Movement (MDB), who asked for the vote of the undecided for Lula

One day before the crucial ballot in Brazil, Lula has an intention to vote of 52% against 48% of President Jair Bolsonaro, in a situation of technical tie within the margin of error, reported this Saturday’s survey by the Datafolha institute released by Leaf of Sao Paulo.

Since the margin of error is two points more or less, a tie situation is likely, but depending on the Datafolha statement “there are more chances that Lula could be leading”.

In total votes, Lula remained at 49%, Bolsonaro rose from 44 to 45%, with 2% undecided and 4% of people who responded that they would annul the vote or cast a blank vote.

TV Globo, for its part, broadcast after 6 p.m. the Ipec Institute survey, which gave 54% to 46% of Lula against Bolsonaro.

In total votes, Ipec awarded 50% to the leader of the Workers’ Party (PT) and 43% to the head of state, with 5% blank or annulled votes and 2% undecided, with a margin of error of 2 points for up or down.

Governor elections in Brazil

In addition to president, there will be runoff in 12 states to elect governorwith special importance in the most populous state in the country, São Paulo, where former Bolsonaro minister Tarcisio de Freitas leads the poll against PT member Haddad.

For the first time since 1996 there will be no Brazilian Social Democracy Party governor in São Paulo, a state that has a third of the country’s economy and 46 million inhabitants.

Another complex situation is taking place in another strong state, Bahia, where Jerónimo Rodrigues, from the PT, will seek to continue the government of the Workers’ Party that began in 2006 before the popular ex-intendent of Salvador Antonio Carlos Magalhaes Neto, from Unión Brasil, although He declared himself neutral at the national level as a result of the rejection that Bolsonaro has in the northeastern region.

The real-time vote count will begin at 5:00 p.m. after the polls close and a statement from Lula is expected after 7:30 p.m.according to his campaign team.

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