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February 8, 2022
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Mexico’s GDP would grow 2.6% in 2022 and not 5%, according to the Ministry of Economy

Mexico's GDP would grow 2.6% in 2022 and not 5%, according to the Ministry of Economy

Last week, the president estimated economic growth of 5% this year and ruled out that the country has entered a technical recession despite the contraction of GDP in the last two quarters of last year.

“If we remember a little, and I’m going to go back to when they approved the budget, the Treasury raised 4%; this was before omicron. Right now we estimate we could be around 2.5% and 2.6%,” Clouthier told local radio .

Analysts cut their estimate for the economy’s growth by 2.20%, according to a central bank survey released last week. Preliminary figures have shown that the GDP fell by 0.1% between October and December, stringing together two quarters with contraction and entering a technical recession.

“There are many factors that occur throughout the year that can positively or negatively alter the year and I think the president is betting that positive things will happen,” Clouthier said when asked about the difference between his forecast and López’s. Workshop.

In its latest World Economic Outlook report, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reduced its growth estimate for Mexico from 4% to 2.8% in January, days after the World Bank lowered it to 3%.



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