Exactly within 357 days, April 12, 2026more than 27 million Peruvians will go to the polls to choose who will govern the destinations of the country in the 2026-2031 period. Having already closed the deadline for the registration of political parties, there are 43 groups enabled to participate in the contest, but many less – there are eight – those that appear with percentages that go between 2% and 9% popular support, according to the latest national Ipsos survey for Peru21. The results also graph who lead citizen preferences, although still, as always in Peru, nothing is said.
Three months ago, the presidency candidates still not officialized, Keiko Fujimori, Rafael López Aliaga and Carlos Álvarezthey appeared in the first three places of the presidentials with greater probabilities. At that time, the Ipsos survey on voting intention placed them in that same order.
Today, in mid -April, they remain leading the relationship, but while the Popular Force leader has dropped a point – from 12% to 11% -, the mayor of Lima and the country candidate for all have risen from 4% in January to 6% this month.
This graph, however, is not repeated when the study – national coverage and made between 1,206 people over 18 – identifies citizen preferences specifically with respect to the parties. In that case, only Popular Force retains the first place, followed by Popular Action and Peru Libre, perhaps these last groups for becoming brands already recognized by the population, even though in the first case there is no defined presidential applicant and in the second the leadership commitment is by Vladimir Cerrón, who meets today 562 days fugitive from justice.
The blank or vitiated vote, meanwhile, remains high: 32%, which added to 10% of the undecided realizes that almost half of the voters have not yet defined a position.
In the midst of the insecurity crisis unleashed by the galloping progress of crime, on the other hand, there are 53% of citizens who indicate that the increase in violence is “worried a lot”, and 36% who confess to feeling “a lot of anger” because there is “much corruption and injustice.”
These figures would explain why in just three months, from January to April, according to Ipsos, the percentage of the population that would vote for “a strong leader, willing to act with a hard hand to put order” has risen from 39% to 46%, while that of those who incline a leader “who promotes the market economy and economic development” has fallen from 23% to 20%.
Total rejection
Meanwhile, despite being this a pre -election year, and the nefarious government experiences of recent times, citizens still do not show interest in informing themselves about Peruvian politics. According to the study, 60% reveal to be “little informed” on the subject; and 17%, “nothing informed”, which shows that 77%, more than three quarters of the voters, if the general elections were tomorrow, would go to the polls without the necessary value elements to choose their new authorities.
However, what are clear is their rejection of radicalism. 52% said that “definitely” would not vote for Antauro Humala, the murderer of four police officers during the ‘Andahuaylazo’, if he applied to the Senate; Another 44% support the same in the case of the coup and today tenant of the Barbadillo prison, Pedro Castillo.
Thus it paints the scenario of a little less than a year of the fair electoral, which reinforces the premise of Peru21 For this 2026 process: “I think, then vote.”
Technical file
He thinks
Alvaro Henzler
President of the Civil Association Transparency
“We are one year after the general elections; an opportunity to exercise our vote with consciousness and, hopefully, change the trajectory to the country towards democracy and development. Ipsos publishes this survey, which leaves us some ideas that reinforce that the next choice will be complex and risky.
One will be the election with the historical record of political parties in contest: 43, more than double than in 2021. Between 1980 and 2021 we have had between 10 and 20 parties. Party atomization will bring serious problems to achieve an informed vote and an orderly process.
Two, there is a deep political discredit by citizens. The current popularity of the Government and Congress is in its lowest historical in 40 years, and the satisfaction of citizenship with democracy and political parties is the worst in Latin America. In this survey, only two parties and three possible candidacies have more than 5% support. The two winners who should go to the second round are Mr. Blanco/Viciado and the lady does not need. In the April 2020 Simile Survey, two candidates exceeded 15% support. Today, none.
Three, the final result of the contest could perpetuate the little governance of the country and poor representativeness in power. If the result of this survey were similar to the final result, more than 80% of Peruvians would not have voted in the first round for the candidacy that wins the presidency and only 3 parties would integrate the Congress.
Four, there is field for anti -democratic radical candidates. In two years, the citizen desire of a presidential profile with “hard hand” has doubled and has drastically fallen to someone “concerter.”
The combination of these four factors can be devastating for our democracy. As citizens, they must demand those who aspire to represent us a firm commitment to citizen listening and connection, with ethical agreements to achieve governance and with the sensible democratic exercise with results.
Now available in Yape! Find us in Yape Promos.
