The Biden plan For Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela, it seems a small relief from the current migratory cycle in the region, but it is still far from offering a fundamental solution.
The main objective is to eliminate the explosive concentration of undocumented immigrants on the border with Mexico. Its greatest virtue is the shift in official US thought to recognize the need to regulate labor mobility that actually exists.
It opens a legal access route to emigration (parole or conditional entry) and consequently helps to dissolve the irregular route with all its risks, the interference of organized crime and human trafficking.
However, the offer of legal admission places, 30,000 per month or 360,000 per year for the four countries, is very limited given the demand.
According to the United States Customs and Border Protection (CBP) record, between the fiscal years of 2021 and 2022 alone, the combined entry of undocumented immigrants from the four countries more than tripled, going from 189 thousand 251 to 635 thousand 323.
In other words, the new plan reaches only half, if demand remains at the same level.
By individual countries, the demand grew in that period almost six times in the case of Cubans (from 39,303 to 224,607); more than three times in Venezuelans (from 50,499 to 189,520) and Nicaraguans (from 50,722 to 164,600) and had a slight rise in Haitians (from 48,727 to 56,596).
A second weakness of the plan is the limit of two years of stay in the United States. This term is better than that of Temporary Protected Status (TPS), which Washington grants to natives of 12 countries for up to 18 renewable months.
However, there is no emigrant who wants to settle outside his country and then look for a second destination, particularly when the bonds of family attraction operate for generations in the United States.
From this limit, at least until now, Cubans can escape. The Adjustment Act allows them to opt for permanent residence after one year and one day of stay in the United States.
Contradictoryly, the United States still maintains its embassy in Havana without consular service for non-immigrants, thereby unnecessarily putting pressure on the demand for the new parole.
*This text was originally published on the blog From the Greater Caribbean of The Day. It is reproduced with the express permission of its author.