AND
he year 2024 attracts the attention of all those interested in politics, whether or not they are active politicians. This is because the change of President of the Republic is going to put the whole country in tension, not only the class that practices the noble art. The interest that 2024 provokes is so great that another topic has paled, which are the 2023 elections and that we have practically in sight.
Next year power will be disputed in the state of Mexico and Coahuila. There is one point that brings the two elections very close: the PRI governs both entities and has governed for decades, more than 70 years.
The forecasts in both states are not favorable for what was the only game. The situation of the PRI is very difficult, because counting on the state of Mexico and Coahuila, it only has three states in its power. Losing both or at least one of them would put him in an agonizing situation, particularly if where he loses is the state of Mexico.
What would it mean to lose the state of Mexico? This entity is more than 20 thousand square kilometers and has 17 million inhabitants; In addition, it is one of the entities with the greatest corruption and insecurity. The 2017 elections that the PRI won were tainted by suspicions of fraud, a particularly close election that Alfredo del Mazo won by a very small margin. The defeat in 2023 could not only end the PRI, but also cause the collapse of the Alianza Va Por México.
What would happen if the PRI wins? You could end your recovery there. The victory would fill the PRI with confidence and pride. The strategic character of the state could influence other elections, for example in Mexico City, Michoacán, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Morelos, Guerrero and Querétaro. The victory would have a positive influence in favor of the current leaders.
As far as Coahuila is concerned, it is a border state, very extensive, but sparsely populated. The PRI has governed there since 1947, and in the last elections Morena was not in second place, but the PAN, which obtained 35 percent of the vote, while the PRI 38 percent.
These elections will announce trends and characteristics of the elections of the time of Andrés Manuel López Obrador and are a very important preamble for the decisive elections of 2024.
