Today: November 5, 2024
November 5, 2024
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With Harris or Trump, experts see a complex relationship with pressure from the US

With Harris or Trump, experts see a complex relationship with pressure from the US

Proof of this power in the hands of crime are the violent events of October 24 in Tecpan de Galeana, Guerrero, in which a confrontation left 19 people dead. The president of Mexico assured that the weapons used came from the United States. “What we saw in the case of Tecpan de Galeana, in Guerrero, was high-caliber weapons that came from there,” he said last week.

The T-MEC review

The review of the USMCA will also be an issue for the Sheinbaum administrations and the next White House guest. The Mexican Government has been preparing to defend this trade agreement, however, there is no guarantee that it will be a successful issue.

“The best thing Sheinbaum can do is stay on the sidelines and try to generate the best conditions for the negotiation of the treaty. Only right now there is a bomb, the reform of the Judiciary, which is going to hit, surely in the renegotiation of the treaty. So he has already inherited that problem for the renegotiation of the treaty,” considers Sumano.

For his part, Rodrigo Aguilar points out that with Trump, the review could translate into greater pressures on certain sectors, while Harris could maintain a regulatory focus, especially on environmental and labor issues, aligning with her Democratic agenda.

“Regardless of who is left, there will be a tightening of trade policies… In Trump’s case there will be a lot of bluff and more pressure. In the case of Kamala Harris, the issue of environmental regulations is going to become more acute,” he says.

The president’s team is clear that they must arrive prepared for this review. Altagracia Gómez assured that there is now the conviction that the T-MEC is the best Free Trade agreement.

“What corresponds to Mexico is to arrive well prepared and with a proposal for the region, to see all the issues, we are going to have a well-prepared team and we have to bet on the regional integration of North America,” he said on December 24. October, during the Summit Expansión.

There is a conviction that this is the best free trade agreement in the world and it is a conviction that we share”

Altagracia Gomez.

New start with tensions

Starting next January, the governments of Mexico and the United States will begin a new stage of a relationship that in recent months has been marked by tension.

Issues such as Judicial Reform and the arrest of Ismael “El Mayo” Zambada” generated differences and even a pause between the Mexican government and the United States embassy.

“The relationship with the United States has always been rigid, and in the previous six-year term it was exacerbated by the rhetoric used by former president Andrés Manuel López Obrador, which led to no good terms; Now with two new administrations we must work for a better bilateral relationship,” says Norma Castañeda, professor and specialist in international relations at La Salle University.

Ismael “Mayo” Zambada was arrested by US authorities in El Paso Texas, United States. His capture has unleashed a wave of violence in Sinaloa, for which Mexico has blamed the US government.

From Mexico, President Claudia Sheinbaum assures that she will work with whoever is elected as president, but has clarified that it will be a relationship of cooperation and not subordination.

“There will always be coordination. As we have said, it is coordination without subordination, coordination, dialogue and joint work to be able to address, above all, the issues that concern both of us, particularly the issue of fentanyl,” the president said on October 28.

Although the bilateral relationship with Democrats and Republicans has had its advantages and disadvantages for Mexico, within hours of knowing who will be the president of the United States, concern is increasing over a possible return of Donald Trump and his rhetoric.

“I do believe that a President Trump would be much more difficult for Claudia Sheinbaum than a President Kamala,” said Viri Ríos, in the Politics and Other Expansion Data podcast.

In her conference on Monday, like her predecessor did, President Claudia Sheinbaum reported that she will not comment on the United States electoral process until it has concluded.

“We are not going to demonstrate until the entire electoral process is over, that is how it should be. This is what President López Obrador did at the time and it is the same attitude that the Government of Mexico should take. So it will be that way, once the American electoral institutions make their decision regarding the next president of the United States, we will already be in contact with the next president,” he explained one day before the elections in the neighbor to the north.

With information from Josep Rodríguez.



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