The announcement of the president of the United States, Donald Trumpabout the imposition of a tariff 50 % to imports from Brazilincluding al coffeeas of August 7, 2025, it has caused restlessness in Brazilian producers, and analysis of its impact on different markets.
According to him Financial Timeshe Brazilian coffee -With shipments to the US of approximately 2.2 billion dollars annually- it would be one of the most sectors affected.
American media, like Bloomberghave indicated that the measure could cost the cost of the grain for toaster and consumers in the US competence from other producing countries and affecting demand
An article AFP on Thursday, July 31, this news also reported, highlighting the market tension Global of the coffee and the strategic political orientation of Washington that associated the tariff to judicial tensions against former president Jair Bolsonaro.
Can RD benefit?
Prodominicana and the Dominican government have highlighted a notable Export growth of coffee.
In 2024, the Dominican exports They reached 41.1 million dollars, a year -on -year increase 106.6 %, with sales to more than 30 destinations; Puerto Rico and USA. They were the main markets
Between 2019 and 2023, the national production It grew from 13.9 million to 23.4 million Metric tonsequivalent to an increase of 68 %
In the first quarter of 2025, 76.9 % of exported coffee corresponded to roasted coffee No decaffeinar (8.12 million dollars), demonstrating a clear approach to larger products added value.
This expansion rhythm places Dominican Republic In a strategic position to capture demand in niches of coffee of specialty, especially if Brazilian imports decrease due to the effects of tariff.
Moderate opportunity
A tariff to the coffee of Brazil could decrease its competitiveness and encourage American toasters and buyers to look for New suppliersamong them, the Dominican Republic, especially in the segment of coffee of specialty
Although Dominican has strengthened its export of coffee With robust growth, penetration in the US and approach in added value, which favors it if the US diversifies its demand, there are tangible limitations.
Brazil It is the Greater world producer with the ability to redirect your Exports To other markets. In addition, the Dominican Republic still participates with modest volumes in the US market, so its impact could be limited to specialized niches rather than a massive change in US supply.
Its ability to capture significantly greater participation will depend on factors such as:
- Sustained expansion of the productive capacity and logistics.
- Positioning in segments of coffees gourmet or special.
- Access and Competitiveness in US markets. Beyond concentrated niches.
