The year 2025 has begun, and without the political, social and economic scenario abandoning the level of uncertainty with which 2024 ended. In this context, Diego Macera, María Isabel León, Alfonso Bustamante Canny, Susana Saldaña and Carlos Basombrío rehearse a analysis of what would be the good news that Peruvians could receive this yearand which one is bad.
Look: “The government must analyze itself and see that it does not make pro-growth policies”
DIEGO MACERA, DIRECTOR OF THE IPE
1 What would be the best news that could be expected for 2025?
Good news would be to achieve the formation of very broad electoral alliances and the selection of excellent candidates for the 2026 elections. Perhaps it is a lot to ask, given the current situation, but that is what we should aspire towards, and in the short time left to give regulations in that regard. This year we should also demand, much more immediately, a firm improvement in citizen security and control of organized crime.
2. What would be the worst news that could happen in 2025?
Outside of a major tragedy, such as an earthquake or pandemic, it would be dramatic for organized crime to escalate during 2025. Peru could enter a vicious circle of violence and control of institutions by the mafia — like the one Colombia or Colombia had at the time. Mexico—, from which it becomes very difficult to escape when power has been captured by other means.
Look: What options are available to invest this year?
MARÍA ISABEL LEÓN, VICE PRESIDENT OF THE IPE
1. What would be the best news that could be expected for 2025?
“Peru leads the Latin American ranking in reducing public insecurity, crime and corruption by 2025.” The main problem of Peruvians, according to various surveys carried out in 2024, corresponds to public insecurity, crime and corruption that plague all corners of the country. , generating a feeling of helplessness in all sectors, both business (at all levels) and social. Peruvians perceive that they are defenseless and unprotected by the State and require a strategy of intelligence and action against these scourges.
2.What would be the worst news that could happen in 2025?
“Radical movement of a Marxist/communist nature threatens to come to power in Peru in the next elections.” In a pre-electoral year, the lack of cohesion of the center-right democratic parties and their eagerness to reach the 2026 elections individually, without giving up the presidential claims of many leaders and achieving consensus representation, has made it easier for a movement A radical Marxist/communist politician is gaining ground in the opinion of voters, especially within the country, generating uncertainty regarding the upcoming presidential elections and the future of the country.
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ALFONSO BUSTAMANTE CANNY, PRESIDENT OF CONFIEP
1. What would be the best news that could be expected for 2025?
Good news for the country would be if Peru achieves economic growth of more than 5%. This would make it possible to address the most pressing needs of the population, such as the generation of formal employment and better access to basic services, especially for the most vulnerable population.
Therefore, it is essential that the Government promotes greater GDP growth through the attraction of private investment and the development of infrastructure that enhances the country’s competitiveness. From the private sector, and particularly from Confiep, we reaffirm our commitment and willingness to contribute to the development of Peru.
2. What would be the worst news that could happen in 2025?
It is up to all of us to work to prevent bad news from stopping or continuing to complicate the development of the country and the well-being of the people. An increase in informality and bureaucracy would be very harmful. You cannot be creating procedure after procedure, which makes investments and formalization difficult.
Another key point to address is the excessive increase in organized crime and illegal economies, which are putting the integrity of people and the continuity of business at risk.
Look: MEF predicts that the Peruvian economy will exceed 3% growth in 2025
SUSANA SALDAÑA, PRESIDENT OF THE BUSINESS ASSOCIATION OF GAMARRA PERU
1. What would be the best news that could be expected for 2025?
Let the political class abandon their personal appetites and work for the development of the country; that Congress legislate thinking only of the good of Peruvians; that the Executive abandons autopilot and executes efficient reactivation measures, and that the Prosecutor’s Office and the Judiciary pursue and imprison criminals.
2. What would be the worst news that could happen in 2025?
May the situation in which we live, of political confrontation, institutional degradation and entrenched corruption in the public apparatus, worsen to the detriment of the poorest Peruvians.
Look: Spending on public investment grew 16.8% in 2024 at the three levels of government
CARLOS BASOMBRÍO, FORMER MINISTER OF THE INTERIOR
1. What would be the best news that could be expected for 2025?
Let the trend begin to reverse. No “fried croakers swimming with their lemon”. That doesn’t exist. Stopping falling and starting to improve would be extraordinary. Less people in poverty, fewer people going hungry, fewer murders, more extortionists in prison and sentences against corrupt people would make a difference.
2. What would be the worst news that could happen in 2025?
Let the decline continue without apogee. Until a while ago we were improving on some fronts and we were just beginning to close serious gaps. Noticeably, in the last four years we have been going downhill in many aspects. One more year like this would be intolerable.
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