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June 27, 2022
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Tropical wave could become a cyclone and affect part of the Caribbean

Imagen del Centro Nacional de Huracanes de EEUU.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States remains attentive to three systems in the Atlantic basin, one of which, located in the central tropical Atlantic, could become a cyclone in the coming days and affect the Windward Islands and part from Venezuela.

According to the NHC, the tropical wave formed 1,448 km east-southeast of the Windward Islands (Grenada, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Trinidad and Tobago, among others) has a 70% chance of reaching named storm in 48 hours, and 90% to achieve it in five days.

A report of Eph remember that the name that would correspond to it is Bonnie, according to the list prepared by the International Meteorological Organization for 2022.

In the current hurricane season in the Atlantic, which began on June 1, there has only been one named storm, Alex, formed on June 5 near the Yucatan Peninsula with the remnants of Hurricane Agatha, the first of this year in the Pacific area. Alex caused rains in the Yucatan and western Cuba and southern Florida.

The wave formed is now producing “an extensive area of ​​showers and thunderstorms” and “environmental conditions appear favorable for further development,” the Miami-based center has said. Thus, a tropical depression is likely to form over the next few days.

The NHC is also monitoring a low pressure trough in the northern Gulf of Mexico, which is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Its development should be slow as it moves west-southwest at about 10 mph into the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and approaches the coasts of southern Texas and northeastern Mexico over the next few days.

Alex forms, first storm of the cyclonic season in the Atlantic

Additionally, in the eastern tropical Atlantic there is a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Ambient conditions may become conducive to gradual development this week as the system moves west-northwest around 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic, but there is no chance of cyclone formation within 48 hours.

If the experts’ forecast for the 2022 hurricane season comes true, with the record of between 14 and 21 tropical storms, this would be the seventh consecutive year that cyclone activity is above average (14), the agency points out. Spanish.

With information from Eph.



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