Three weeks before the referendum to choose whether to maintain or repeal 135 articles of the Law of Urgent Consideration (LUC), there is a “slight” trend in favor of not repealing them, according to the latest survey carried out by the consulting firm Option , spread through Telenoche (Channel 4). According to the consultant’s study, 38% would vote No and 36% Yes. They identify 22% of undecided people who, when asked about which position they find closest, also voted No.
When asked “if the referendum were next Sunday, would you vote the light blue ballot to maintain the 135 articles of the LUC or the pink ballot to repeal them?”, 38% would vote to maintain, 36% to repeal, 22 % is still undecided and the remaining 4% is split in half blank and voided.
While the intention to vote for No has increased 5% between February 2021 and the same date in 2022, that of Yes has fallen 4%. The undecided decreased 1%.
The tilt of the undecided
The percentage of undecided will define the referendum. 22% of the 800 cases consulted by Option have not decided their vote. The answer to the question “although you have not decided your vote, are you closer to voting to maintain or repeal the 135 articles of the LUC? was to maintain at 47% and repeal at 40%. 2% indicated that they would annul the vote and 11% remained undecided.
The greatest adherence in partisan terms is held by the Broad Front. 79% of those consulted who voted for the leftist coalition in the last elections will vote in favor of yes. 14% are undecided, 1% will annul the vote and 6% will lean in favor of No. Within the multicolored coalition, 71% will support No, 8% will vote to repeal the articles, 20% are undecided and also 1% will vote invalid.
The survey was randomly conducted by telephone to 800 people over 18 years of age residing in Uruguay. It happened between February 17 and 26. The maximum margin of error is 3.6%.
