MIAMI, United States. – The Forecast Center of the Cuban Institute of Meteorology (INSMET) reported On this Tuesday morning, an active tropical wave is over the central Caribbean Sea, generating abundant areas of disorganized clouds in its wide area of influence. This system will continue to move westward through the Caribbean Sea, south of Cuba.
“During the next 24 to 48 hours, an area of low pressure will be forming within it, which could have some tropical development in the coming days, since the environmental conditions are very favorable for a tropical cyclonic development,” INSMET noted in your 9:00 am bulletin
Due to the position of the system, the time of year and the expected environmental conditions, the Forecast Center assured that it maintains “close monitoring” of this meteorological phenomenon.
For its part, the United States National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued a notice at 7:00 am this Tuesday, in which it indicates that “a tropical wave over the center of the Caribbean Sea is producing an area of disorganized rain and thunderstorms.” He added that “environmental conditions appear conducive to development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system slowly moves westward in the western Caribbean Sea.”
The NHC also estimated that there is a medium probability (40%) of a tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours, and a high probability (80%) in the next seven days. “Interests across the western Caribbean Sea must monitor the progress of this system,” he warned.
In 2024 Cuba has been impacted by two tropical cyclones: Hurricane Oscar impacted the east of the country on Sunday, October 20, while, two weeks later, the Hurricane Rafael crossed the west of the island.
Oscar left a death toll of eight. Both phenomena had a strong impact on housing, infrastructure and the economy of the largest of the Antilles, which remains mired in one of its worst crises since 1959.
