According to the most recent data, provided by the Electoral Court, this is a detailed projection of how the seats would be distributed in the Senate after scrutiny. According to this estimate, the Frente Amplio (FA) would get 16 seatsgiving him the majority in the chamber.
He is followed by National Party (PN) with 9 seatswhile the Colorado Party (PC) would obtain 5 seats.
Majority projection
The graph reflects a clear majority for the Frente Amplio, which with 16 seats would ensure significant control over legislative decisions. This result indicates a strengthening of his position in the Senate, which could facilitate the approval of his initiatives and policies.
Seat distribution
The National Party, with 9 seats, is the second political force within the Senate. Although it does not reach the majority, its presence is still considerable, allowing it to act as an important opposition bloc, if Yamandú Orsi (FA) wins the presidency of the Republic, being a key actor in political negotiations.
On the other hand, the Colorado Party, with 5 seats, maintains a representation that allows it to influence strategic decisions and seek alliances to enhance its position within the Senate.
This distribution of seats could imply a dynamic of alliances and agreements between the different political forces, especially between the National Party and the Colorado Party, to counteract the majority of the Frente Amplio. The composition of the Senate will be crucial for future discussions and approvals of laws, where negotiations will be strategic for each party.
What is the potential scenario in the Chamber of Deputies?
In the Chamber of Deputies, the situation could be slightly tilted towards the right-wing coalition, made up of the National Party, the Colorado Party, Cabildo Abierto and the Independent Party (it was previously part of the People’s Party, which no longer exists).
According to recent projections, this would be the makeup of the Chamber of Deputies:
- Broad Front (FA): 48 benches (dark blue).
- National Party (PN): 29 benches (light blue).
- Colorado Party (PC): 17 benches (red color).
- Open Town Hall (CA): 2 benches (yellow).
- Sovereign Identity (SI): 2 benches (green).
- Independent Party (PI): 1 bench (purple).
The Broad Front (FA) and the National Party (P.N.) are the political forces with the largest number of seats, and neither of them alone are close to reaching the absolute majority of 50 seats, which means that the possibility of passing bills will depend on strategic alliances with minor parties.
The Colorado Party (PC) is in third place, with 17 projected seats. Although he cannot achieve control of the chamber on his own, he can play a key role in the balance of power, especially by allying himself with the National Party.
Open Town Hall (AC) and Sovereign Identity (ES) have two seats each, and the Independent Party (PI) with a single seat. These minor parties have limited representation, but their support could be decisive in key votes if the major seats need additional support to achieve a majority.
To calculate the total seats of the coalition made up of the National Party (PN), Colorado Party (PC), Open Town Hall (CA) and the Independent Party (PI)we add the projected seats of each one:
- National Party (PN): 29 seats
- Colorado Party (PC): 20 benches
- Open Town Hall (CA): 2 benches
- Independent Party (PI): 1 bench
Coalition total: 52 seats
With 52 deputiesthis coalition would achieve a absolute majority in the Chamber of Deputies (which requires at least 50 seats). This would allow them to pass laws without the need for additional alliances, as long as coalition members stay united on key votes.
