In a totally predictable scenario, after the very high electricity deficits of recent weeks and days, the blackouts Nor will they forgive Cubans on a date as symbolic as the end of the year.
Yes ok according to the Electrical Union (UNE) In the last morning it was possible to avoid effects due to a generation deficit for just over two hours, already at 5:04 AM the outages began again for this reason and must continue during the last day of 2025.
During the day there will be a significant reduction in blackouts, according to the official forecast. At 6:00 in the morning there were 412 MW affected, and at noon that figure should be reduced to only 250 MW, something that could be explained by a possible fuel injection.
However, according to the UNE, the effects of this concept will continue to be high and will extend to 63 distributed generation plants and engines from the Moa Fuel Plant and the Turkish Melones plant.
In total, there will be 872 MW affected by both the lack of fuel and lubricants.
The thermoelectric plants
As for the old thermoelectric plants, the outlook—although less complex than days ago—is far from the best.
At dawn on December 31, there were six units not working, due to breakdowns and maintenance. Of them, only one, Santa Cruz del Norte 1, must be incorporated for the night peak, according to official estimates.
Furthermore, the limitations of the blocks in operation amounted to 603 MW.
Even so, the UNE expects that generation will be able to grow from 1,480 MW at dawn to 1,815 MW at night. To do this, in addition to Santa Cruz 1, 150 MW must be recovered in distributed generation, and the Melones plant and six engines from the Moa Fuel Plant must also be incorporated.
If so, the maximum nighttime impact would be 1,315 MW, 500 MW below the estimated generation. This is also a figure visibly lower than the 1660 MW of this Tuesday and the 1882 MW on Mondayalthough it could increase if any breakage or unforeseen output occurs or the demand exceeds the 3100 MW foreseen by the official report.
Furthermore, even if this did not happen, there would still be a significant part of the country without electricity on the final night of the year, as confirmation of the energy crisis that has hit Cubans hard throughout 2025 and —according to the authorities themselves— should persist in 2026.
