Tropical Storm Melissa maintained its slow movement over the waters of the central Caribbean Sea in recent hours and experienced little change in its intensity, according to the newest part of the Forecast Center of the Institute of Meteorology (Insmet).
The storm areas appear little more organized, extended over much of the central-eastern area of the Caribbean, the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, the information warns.
Insmet specifies that “its central region has been located somewhat further northeast of its previous position and at six in the morning it was estimated at 14.3 degrees North latitude and 73.6 degrees West longitude, a position that places it about 495 kilometers south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti.”
Melisa continued with maximum sustained winds of 85 kilometers per hour, with higher gusts, however, its central pressure had dropped to 1000 hectoPascal and it was moving close to the west-northwest, although its translational speed had decreased to 11 kilometers per hour.
Tropical Storm #Melissa Advisory 4A: Recon Finds Melissa Moving Very Slowly. Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Expected Over Portions of Hispaniola And Jamaica Over the Remainder of This Week. https://t.co/tW4KeGdBFb
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) October 22, 2025
Given these characteristics, Melissa is expected to continue decreasing its translational speed, gradually inclining its trajectory to the northwest and then to the north-northwest, so that in the coming days it will be moving slowly over the central Caribbean Sea, south of the Greater Antilles.
For the United States National Hurricane Center (NHC), tropical storm conditions could be felt in Jamaica late Thursday or Friday.
These forecasts also expect the storm surge generated by Melissa to reach eastern Cuba during the next two days.
“Oceanic and atmospheric conditions will be favorable for its gradual intensification,” emphasizes Insmet, from where the evolution of this organism is closely followed given its current position, its slow movement over the warm waters of the Caribbean Sea and the time of year.
