The most recent survey by the Citizen Perception Plant reveals that the Frente Amplio maintains its leadership in voting intention with 46% support. The National Party follows with 24%, while the Colorado Party reaches 13%. Cabildo Abierto and the Independent Party are significantly behind, obtaining 2% and 1% respectively.
These results were published on Thursday, October 3 in the media La Diaria and MVD Noticias. The survey was carried out between September 27 and 30, with a sample of 500 people, just one month before the scheduled electoral event. The report indicates notable stability with respect to previous surveys.
Analysis of undecided and blank votes
In addition to the percentages obtained by each party, 3% of those surveyed expressed their support for other political formations. Undecided, white and null votes represent a significant 11% of the total surveyed. The stability in the Broad Front’s voting intention indicates that the party has experienced a slight decrease of one percentage point since August.
For its part, the National Party has remained unchanged at 24% during the same period. The Colorado Party presents a notable increase in its support, remaining stable between August and September, but showing an increase of five points since June.
The Citizen Perception Plant indicates that the coalition parties have support that would vary between 40% and 43%. This calculation includes a partial allocation of the undecided votes, to those who have been classified as “coalitionist undecideds”, suggesting a slight inclination towards the coalition parties.
Looking ahead to a possible runoff in November, the study suggests that Yamandú Orsi, of the Frente Amplio, is in a favorable position with a vote projection of 50%, compared to the 40% that Álvaro Delgado would reach. This difference of 10 percentage points agrees with the data collected by the consulting firm in the month of August, indicating consistency in electoral preferences for the runoff.
