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February 19, 2023
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Ortega is “desperate” to talk with the US and seeks to “calm down” his bases, according to political analysts

Ortega is "desperate" to talk with the US and seeks to "calm down" his bases, according to political analysts

The Nicaraguan dictatorship “is not going through a good time” and is looking for alternatives to silence possible questions from its followers, after releasing more than 200 political prisoners in an operation that “failed,” according to political analysts.

«The dictatorship has managed to sell the illusion that it is immune to international pressure, however, this façade has fallen with the resignation that Daniel Ortega makes of more than two hundred kidnap victims that he kept in his dungeons. The fact that he “released” these political prisoners reveals his desperation to open channels of communication, negotiation and show a certain “good faith” before the international community,” said the activist and political analyst in exile. Israel Lewites Cornejo.

For the also writer, the “sacrifice” made by Monsignor Rolando Álvarez of refusing to be exiled, even exposing his life and freedom, made it clear to the world that religious persecution continues in Nicaragua and more political prisoners remained in jails.

Related news: Juan Diego Barberena: “Monsignor Álvarez made Ortega’s operation fail”

The results of that release operation placed Ortega in an “uncomfortable situation” in front of his bases, according to Lewites, due to possible questions from his followers who did not expect the “release” of the opposition leaders.

“And perhaps to mitigate this is that they come up with these ridiculous laws (reform to the Constitution) and actions to remove nationality and confiscate assets, and that is not going to stop here. I imagine that Ortega’s plan is to find how to make some “piñata” to distribute among his henchmen and see if with that he manages to maintain and prolong the cohesion in the midst of these groups a little more, “he added.

Alexa Zamora, opposition activist. Israel Lewites Cornejo, activist and writer

“The dictatorship is not going through a good moment and what I perceive is one more step in its accelerated process of decomposition and perhaps we are before the prelude to a change because important things must be happening,” Lewites said.

the opponent Alexa Zamora, who was included in the stateless list, stated that the seizure of nationality is a cause for alarm for the international community, as well as for those affected. However, she maintained that her condition will not be an impediment to “continue denouncing the abuses that the regime commits against Nicaraguan citizens.”

“It is a challenge that we will know how to face and opens a channel to take legal action against the regime,” Zamora warned.

Lawyer and political analyst Juan Diego Barberena advanced in a recent interview with Article 66 that Ortega seeks to have other “negotiating cards” before the United States, a country with which he has mainly wanted to dialogue.

He argued that the Nicaraguan dictatorship, having lost its “main bargaining cards” which were the political prisoners, “now needs to have some other bargaining cards so that at the time of dialogue with the United States, having to give in to effect of the internal political game within Nicaragua”. That is why he has stripped the nationality of more than 300 citizens critical of his regime.

Ortega is "desperate" to talk with the US and seeks to "calm down" his bases, according to political analysts
Lawyer Juan Diego Barberena, member of the Political Council of the Blue and White National Unity (UNAB).

Mexican historian and political analyst Hector Aguilar Camin He agrees that “apparently it is the moment of greatest power for Ortega, but it is also the beginning of the collapse.”

In statements to the journalist Joaquín López-Dóriga, he said that “it is impossible for a dictatorship of this brutality to be able to sustain itself for a long time where it is and it is clear that the international repudiation and the same internal mobilization within Nicaragua and the days that will come of resistance against this dictator barbaric will end up imposing themselves and demonstrating that the one who is truly alone is Daniel Ortega».

Related news: The United States condemns stripping of nationality to 94 Nicaraguans

Aguilar Camín stressed that “we must pay special attention” in the case of Bishop Álvarez. For him, the monsignor is “the martyr of the attempt to kill freedom and democracy in Nicaragua.”

«As we have seen in history: Today’s victims will be tomorrow’s heroes and today’s apparent losers will be tomorrow’s victors. Ortega will be the mark of disgrace and betrayal of the ideals that, at some time, he said he professed and today is dedicated to destroying without any moral, personal, or psychological limits; a man destroyed inside, who has no scruples, without dignity and accompanied by a woman (Rosario Murillo) equal to or worse than him.

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