The survey asks its participants if, if they were still alive, they would vote for Hugo Chávez. The majority, 48.4%, responded to More Consulting that they would. The counterpart is almost the same, since 48.2% discard this idea.
A survey carried out in May 2022 by the consulting company More Consulting revealed that, despite the fact that 60.9% of Venezuelans negatively value the presidential administration of Nicolás Maduro, his popularity improved compared to 80.4% negative evaluation which he received in May 2017.
The survey, applied to 1,200 people of both sexes registered in the electoral registry and belonging to all states, shows that 8.7% of the sample think that Maduro has had an “excellent” management, 15.6% consider that has been “good” and another 13.9% “fair to good”, who make up 38.2% of favorable ratings.
At the other extreme, 12.4% think that their management has been “fair to bad”, 19.5% simply “bad” and another 29% – the largest portion among these subgroups – that it has been “terrible” .
The history of the study shows how the evaluation of the Chavista president has evolved over the years. In December 2015 it had a 63.7% rejection rate, in May 2017 with 80.4%, in February 2019 71.1%, in January 2022 with 67.9% and now in May 2022 with 60.9%.
60.9% of Venezuelans evaluate the management of Nicolás Maduro as negative, according to a national opinion study carried out by More Consulting in July. It is a decrease from May 2017 when the percentage was 80.4%. What else does the study reveal? ? pic.twitter.com/ZHZ1y6t81v
— Tony Frangie Mawad (@TonyFrangieM) August 18, 2022
In other words, Maduro currently has the best approval he has had in the last seven years, despite the fact that his unpopularity continues to predominate. The peaks of greatest rejection seem to coincide with the moments of the most critical economic crisis, since 2017 marks its worst moment and coincides with the year of greatest shortages and the beginning of hyperinflation in the country, as well as with the anti-government protests promoted by the opposition. for at least three months.
Even with a low level of approval, Maduro is the third most popular “political leader” in the country, behind Lorenzo Mendoza (53.3% favorable) and Rafael Lacava (44.6%). María Corina Machado is fourth (28%), while Guaidó is the most rejected (20.1%).
For example: 54.7% have an unfavorable opinion of Maduro, more than 47.2% of Machado (most popular opposition political leader). In turn, 24.9% do not know or have no opinion of Machado: less than 30% of Lacava but more than 10% of Maduro.
— Tony Frangie Mawad (@TonyFrangieM) August 18, 2022
Regardless of the approval or rejection of Maduro’s administration, a large 76.4% of those surveyed consider that Venezuela needs a political change, while only 16.7% prefer that the current political reality be maintained. The remaining 6.9% chose to select the “does not know/does not answer” option.
The instrument also asked for methods to achieve that political change. For the majority, 44.7%, the best alternative is for the sanctions to be lifted in exchange for conditions for impartial presidential elections in 2024. The second best option is the appearance of new opposition leaders who do not confront the Chavista government.
*Also read: Maduro from Turkey sees “very difficult” for the US to lift sanctions on Venezuela
8.1% think that the sanctions should be lifted and Maduro be allowed to govern, while 7.2% prefer that Chavismo remain in power with a new head in the Executive. 3.8% would support a foreign military intervention and the least popular option, with 1.6%, is a coup.
And what is the best method to achieve that according to the respondents? A plurality of 44% believes that it should come from a lifting of sanctions in exchange for free elections in 2024 – the number rises to 52% among opponents. pic.twitter.com/QDpch0BfWl
— Tony Frangie Mawad (@TonyFrangieM) August 18, 2022
The most popular proposal, to obtain conditions for the 2024 presidential elections, is consistent with the willingness to vote, since 77.7% of those surveyed are “totally willing” to vote. 11.5% are “not very willing”, while 4.7% “not very willing” and 3.4% “not at all willing”.
Regarding the means by which Venezuelans are informed about politics —an important element in decision-making—, the majority do so through Instagram (19.7%), they follow news portals on the Internet (14.2%), television national of the State (8.9%), cable television (8.4%), radio (8%) and the remaining 40% among other open television channels, social networks and written press.
And how are Venezuelans informed about politics? 40.1% use social networks and 27.9% use television (state, cable and open national). However, it varies by type of media: the use of Facebook is higher in ninis and chavistas, for example. pic.twitter.com/7uEeOaJtaI
— Tony Frangie Mawad (@TonyFrangieM) August 18, 2022
From the economic point of view, there is a relative better perception. 52.2% believe that there is a better economic situation than in recent years, while 43.8% consider that it is the same or worse. Not a minor fact is that 23.1% of those surveyed consider that the economic situation is much worse now.
Is the current economic situation of your household better than it was a few years ago? 52.2% consider that it is better – but the majority of this group sees the improvement as “little”. 43.8% consider that the situation is bad: a majority of this group perceives it as “much worse”. pic.twitter.com/pjZJG9u5uX
— Tony Frangie Mawad (@TonyFrangieM) August 18, 2022
More Consulting also asked the participants if, if they were still alive, they would vote for Hugo Chávez. The majority, 48.4%, answered yes. The counterpart is almost the same, since 48.2% discard this idea.
And although Maduro’s approval is a minority, Chavista sentiment lives on in the country: 48.4% say they would vote for Chávez if he were alive (less than any electoral victory for the former president). However, 48.2% say they would not. The sharpest polarization. pic.twitter.com/jExuXgl06T
— Tony Frangie Mawad (@TonyFrangieM) August 18, 2022
Although the Chavista feeling seems to remain, in the case of an election, 54.5% of those surveyed say they would vote for a non-Chavista candidate. Only 28% would vote for a Chavista candidate.
And who would they vote for? 54.5% would vote for a non-Chavista candidate, 28% for a Chavista candidate, 4% would not vote and 13.5% do not know. Among “the ninis”: 62.3% say they would vote for an anti-Chavista and 13.6% for a Chavista. 19.9% do not know for whom they would do it. pic.twitter.com/B8uY02jZcj
— Tony Frangie Mawad (@TonyFrangieM) August 18, 2022
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