MIAMI, United States. – He National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the Cuban Meteorological Institute (INSMET) reported this Friday on the high probability of a tropical depression developing in the southwest of the Caribbean Sea during the next few days.
The system could form from a broad area of low pressure that is likely to develop over the next 12 to 24 hours.
According to the NHC, in its outlook issued at 2:00 pm this Friday, “gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next weekend.” week as the system moves generally northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea.”
The probability of formation up to seven days, according to the NHC, is high (70%).
For its part, INSMET, in its weather outlook at 9:00 am on November 1, noted: “In the southwest of the Caribbean Sea, it is very likely that an area of low pressure will develop within 12 to 24 hours. . In addition, this system could gradually develop and become a tropical depression towards the weekend, while moving north or northwest over the central or western Caribbean Sea.
Additionally, another area of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is monitored, which has associated rains and thunderstorms over the arc of the Greater Antilles and the adjacent Atlantic and the northwest of the Caribbean Sea. “A development of this system is possible over the next few days as it moves west-northwest near the Greater Antilles. After that time, it is expected that this system will be absorbed by the low pressure area located over the Caribbean Sea,” INSMET added.
Despite these systems under surveillance, the influence of high pressure with its center located in the waters of the Atlantic Ocean continues over the Cuban archipelago. This imposes a flow of wind from the northeast to the east, responsible for the arrival of low cloudy clouds towards localities on the northern coast and stimulates the occurrence of occasional showers from late morning and early morning.
On October 30, the official newspaper Vanguardfrom the province of Villa Clara, called what he called “amateur meteorologists” the people who warned on social networks about the probable formation of two tropical waves in the vicinity of Cuba.
The media, organ of the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) in that central province, quoted the master’s degree Amaury Machado Montes de Oca, head of the Forecasting Group of the Provincial Meteorological Center of Villa Clara, who stated: “On this October 30 there is no “Nothing, officially formed, that can affirm the presence of a tropical cyclone in the area and that does not affect Cuba either.”
The specialist also added that “the strong upper currents currently existing in the Caribbean would prevent any event of this type from forming in the next 24 to 48 hours.”
However, Machado Montes de Oca acknowledged that “there are tropical waves, favorable oscillations and warm waters that could facilitate conditions for later, which is why the existing areas are under investigation.”
