From the forecasts for the closing of 2022 of the Anatec-AMIB Survey, the enormous dispersion (maximums and minimums) that exists among analysts of target prices is striking, as Javier Bernal, leader of the survey, considered it in an interview with El Economist.
“Without a doubt, this responds to the enormous uncertainty that prevails in the markets at a global level, which characterized this entire year and which seems highly probable, will prevail next year without major changes.
“In general, it is expected that it will be a better year for the stock markets, although with the hope of marginal (less) single-digit returns. In the case of the peso, some weakness of around 3% (20.40 pesos) is projected, but not for the euro, where a possible recovery of around 4% is observed at the end of 2023 (1.08 dollars)”, commented Bernal, director of Monex money market.
Jacobo Rodriguez — Black Wall Street Capital
The scenario for 2023 is still very uncertain, mainly because of a key word that should be considered: “divergence”. The differences that exist in terms of the inflationary rhythm of Europe with respect to other regions are very clear and that is that in said continent there is no slowdown in general inflation, a situation that is already observed in the United States and other countries of America . This situation also implies divergence between the monetary policy stances of various countries and this could have a considerable impact on the exchange market throughout 2023 that would have effects on other asset classes.
A stabilization of the financial markets cannot be expected in the short term, as long as a certain global synchrony in terms of economic activity, the evolution of prices and monetary and fiscal policies is not generated; This leads us to think that volatility will remain in 2023. Added to this is the high probability that a recession will materialize in some regions. Given the above, a defensive stance must be maintained in investment portfolios.
Alfredo Huerta — Advalue
Technical analysis has been a very rewarding learning and experience throughout my 35 years of work in the financial and stock market sector. I think it is very important to consider that technical analysis does not mean an “isolated analysis” of the behavior of markets or instruments.
Technical analysis greatly enriches your analysis process and helps you try to visualize what is happening and could happen going forward in each of the markets analyzed as part of a probability of occurrence.
There are primary, secondary, and tertiary trends that help show investment opportunities at different times. There are technical trainings that help identify probable investment or divestment opportunities according to your condition.
Something very relevant that has helped me in these years has been to include tools such as Fibonacci analysis, which can often be levels that have very interesting responses that are not expected in the market.
Today there are platforms that help you have a universe of instruments, take advantage of national and international market situations. Faced with a Capitalization Value of the US market that represents 47% of the total world value, we cannot fail to analyze this condition, which can often modify a local analysis.
