AND
n early morning On Wednesday, September 10, 19 Russian drones, during a wave of attacks on neighboring Ukraine, they entered the Polish airspace, with one of the devices falling up to 257 kilometers within the country. The violation forced the closure of four airports and the alert of the NATO’s air defense systems with the German patriot systems, the fighters F-16 Poles, F-35 Dutch and an Italian Awacs surveillance plane involved in the interception operation in which “three or four drones”-according to the authorities-have been shot down, something that meant-as they did not tire of underlining the European agencies-“the first time the alliance had to shoot on its territory from the beginning of the beginning of the war in Ucrania in Ucrania [en febrero de 2022]”(t.ly/nypfp).
While it is not the first time that Russian drones cross until Poland – for example, last month one exploded shortly after passing the border -, this time, the scale of the incursion (“19 errors during a whole night is not a mistake”) indicates that it has not been a similar accident.
And since, as soon as it was proven, all have been unarmed lures-the gerberas, similar to the geran-2 (Shahed), but cheaper and without an eye (t.ly/eryhg) -, used by Russia, especially in distraction missions and to saturate the aerial defenses of Ukraine, and that these drones were not aimed at any specific objective, the entire incident and its motivations should be considered at least in two planes: one military and another politician.
First, the incursion was an attempt by Moscow to test the abilities and response times of NATO on a larger scale, “but without causing an open war” (t.ly/ugtgj). Although NATO officers and Polish politicians have congratulated, this reaction has been very poor. Only a small portion of the devices was demolished ( Circa 20 percent), while for example the same night, the Ukraine Air Force reported having eliminated 93 percent of drones in their territory (386 of 415). Above, a house “destroyed by a Russian drone” was actually … destroyed by a missile of a Polish F-16 ( sic). But since the result will now be less, but a greater presence of NATO in Poland (already announced), and that it was also announced that the army will be trained with its Ukrainian counterparts in interception tasks, the Russian profits of this “test” on this plane are ambiguous.
Second, from there, the most important objective of the incursion seems to have been to test the political will of the “collective west” in continuing to maintain their support for kyiv “at a time when European allies no longer trust the US support” after having been ignored by Trump that −Ity against them (t.ly/p_tbo) – He chose to negotiate directly with Putin. And it is Trump – who, in fact, subtracted the importance from the entire incident (t.ly/hkn_p) -, which seems to have been the main “audience” of this exercise.
In this sense, it is not a coincidence that the incursion in Poland was part of the escalation of Russian attacks with drones to Ukraine after the failed summit in Alaska, which did not yield any results and that in turn was better understood as a distraction that Trump mounted to divert attention of his problems in internal politics (t.ly/vnubh). It was another way of pressing the United States to leave the conflict and discourage European countries that call “redouble support to Ukraine” (T.LY/BBSHK), But of which none actually – as in a moment of sincerity days after the incursion in Poland remarked the Polish Foreign Minister (and for his own apparent sadness …) – he is willing to enter an open war with Russia (t.ly/9e-ku). Although it was only for this admission, the attack, seen on this plane from Moscow, could have been worth it.
Symptomatically, the entire war in Ukraine is also better understood in a dual plane as, without this being a contradiction, a “war proxy”From NATO against Russia (triggered on the one hand by the expansion of the alliance to the east and on the other by the” secret “eagerness of the regime change in the Kremlin) and at the same time a National Defense War against the aggression of Russian imperialism.
But as Volodymyr Ishchenko has observed, it is a war proxy “Rare”: one of which today the greatest partner of NATO (United States) wants to leave, in which Ukrainian citizens are not very committed to the defense of their nation and in which the objectives of Russian imperialism are not entirely clear – the “imminent invasion” of all of Europe that they do not tire of warning us the European elites? its nationalism that by the imperialist objectives (T.LY/4RJQF).
And it is in fact right in nationalism (sterile and performative) Where −incapaces to inspire its citizens in the concept of “war proxy“And reluctant to send them to a real war – Polish politicians,” mirror “to Russian nationalism, play this conflict.
As Liberal Prime Minister Donald Tusk −impopular and that betrayed all his 2023 campaign promises (T.LY/FPGC0) -, that after having hysterically announced that the attack of the Russian drones “brought Poland closer to a military conflict since the Second War” ( sic), he took advantage of it, very much in the style of Trump regarding Alaska, as a distraction of his internal problems. To play the Nationalist Charter and −A to encourage more anti -ruse paranoia (T.LY/GQQSN)-, close the ranks under the flag of the “United Front Liberal-iliberal against Moscow” with the ultraconservative president with whom he is enemy (Karol Nawrocki) and becoming even more indistinguishable from the extreme right itself.
