According to the survey carried out by the Datafolha Institute, the former union leader and leader of the progressive Workers’ Party (PT) obtained 47% of the intention to vote in the survey carried out this week, without variation with respect to a similar survey. made by the same firm exactly a month ago.
The leader of the Brazilian far-right, for his part, slightly increased his intention to vote from 28% in June to 29% in July, thereby reducing Lula’s advantage from 19 to 18 percentage points, within the margin of error and what pollsters characterized as a scenario of complete stability.
With an intention to vote higher than that of the other candidates put together, Lula, according to Datafolha, has a chance of winning with an absolute majority on October 2, so he would be elected president without having to contest the second round scheduled for October 30. october.
The difference between the two candidates remained practically the same despite the populist measures announced by Bolsonaro in recent weeks, such as the millionaire package of subsidies for the poorest, taxi drivers and truckers, and the rule that allowed a reduction in the prices of fuel and energy at a time when Brazil is suffering from rising inflation.
The new poll was conducted a few days after the Workers’ Party officially launched Lula’s presidential candidacy as the head of a broad coalition of left and center parties, and the Liberal Party (PL), allied with other center-right, will nominate Bolsonaro for a new four-year term.
The survey made clear the total polarization in the Brazilian presidential elections in October, since the candidates nominated by centrist parties and who try to emerge as alternatives remain without possibilities.
Labor Ciro Gomes, the third most voted candidate in the presidential elections four years ago and nominated last week by the Democratic Labor Party (PDT), obtained the same 8% vote intention in July that he had in June.
And Senator Simone Tebet, nominated the day before by the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), the country’s main centrist force, is in fourth place with only 2% favoritism, up from 1% in June.
Three other candidates only registered a 1% favoritism and the others did not meet this threshold.
According to Datafolha, which listened to 2,566 voters in 183 cities in the country between Wednesday and Thursday, the July poll has a margin of error of two percentage points up or down.
The entrance Lula maintains 18-point lead over Bolsonaro in new poll was first published in diary TODAY.
