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November 10, 2024
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José Antonio García Belaunde: "“The Peruvian right should take Trump’s victory more cautiously”

jOSELO

How to explain the triumph of trump?

What for me is an assault on reason is that a candidate who has run a racist, misogynistic, xenophobic campaign and who has not measured himself in any of his multiple vulgar and aggressive expressions, despite having said that he is going to deport millions of Latinos, despite the fact that he has said that he is going to close the wall and raise tariffs, despite the fact that he was found guilty of several crimes and almost provoked a coup d’état, despite all that, he ended up winning comfortably. He takes about four million votes away from Harris. That’s harder to understand. I am beginning to have a disagreement with so many analysts, especially Americans, who are not seeing that there is something more behind. There is a kind of mass that we can almost say is fascist, a product of discontent. It’s not that trump pull the dough; the mass is there and trump He runs to put himself on the front line of this irritated, desperate, intolerant and undemocratic mass. I have seen how this phenomenon occurs whereby one can go to the extreme of choosing that man. That mass of people so enraged, crazy and not very rational, that is what should be worrying, even more so that Mr. trump. trump He is very carried away by that radicalism of the masses and I give him a case: trump He was never anti-abortion, but if the masses are asking him to ban abortion, then he takes the lead. That is what should concern us: how is it possible that the conditions are in place for the least suitable person to end up comfortably winning the presidency of the United States.

Did the anti-globalist and protectionist discourse resonate with the working class?

Yes, the protectionist speech has stuck. And, when we talk about protection, we are not only talking about tariff-type measures that can affect trade, but we are also talking about the unskilled labor that comes with immigrants and that displaces the unskilled American labor. We are talking about reconversions of economies where certain industries have to give way to others because they have become non-competitive. It is a phenomenon that has a commercial aspect, an industrial aspect and an aspect that is migration.

Look: Joe Biden will receive Trump at the White House to begin transition

On the Democratic side, influencing identity politics has not convinced many Latinos or African Americans, especially among men.

Gender identity was not one of her points of support, but she is clearly a woman and, as such, was confronted by an alpha male. And many people, especially at more popular levels, opt for the alpha male, which has to do with a whole history of machismo and purity. It is in American cinema and novels, a cult of the American male. And “let’s make America great again” is not gratuitous, because the pandemic was a cutoff. Pre-pandemic America was better than post-pandemic America. In Spanish terms, it is a song for the death of his father. Every time in the past was better.

Speaking of American cinema, the motto “Make America great again” comes from Ronald Reagan.

Exactly. That’s why people who want to tame Trump tell him: “Reagan was a great president and look at the legacy he left. You have to be like him.” But I don’t know if that speech is going to stick with him. Trump is a daffodil. I think that Trump feels that he has done very well, that he has defied all the laws that imply becoming president, that he has run the campaign he wanted, ignoring his advisors… and that it has gone very well. Why is he going to look like Reagan when he thinks the story begins with him? His fans believe that he is sent from God, that God has sent him to save the USAwhich is going to make him great and Christian again.

Even the Amish, Mennonites from Pelsylvania, who never vote, have voted for him…

Exactly. There is a lot of irritation and annoyance. A lot of desperation that makes a majority vote for someone they would not have voted for under other circumstances. Someone who does not represent the best values ​​of that society. Racist, misogynist, homophobic, xenophobic. I think Trump is right-wing and may be far-right. It will be whatever you feel the masses require to satisfy them. His victory gives encouragement to far-right movements.

“I DON’T SEE THE CLAWS OF THE DRAGON”

The Peruvian right felt the victory as its own.

The Peruvian right felt the victory as their own but may resent it later, because we do not know if Trump will decide to review the FTA, impose tariffs and affect trade, or discourage investments in Peru because he considers it insufficient in terms of international security. The Peruvian right should take Trump’s victory more cautiously. But hey, there are as many right as there are left. We don’t know which one is closer to Trump. And the same with the Church, which previously had a right-wing hierarchy and now a left-wing one. I am very surprised, for example, with the punishment imposed on Father Jaime Baertl, whom I know as someone serious and responsible, and who helped Peru unblock a maritime boundary agreement with Ecuador. In Peru the right is very complicated and the spaces in the center have been shortened.

He Port of Chancay Could it bother the Trump Government?

I wouldn’t rule it out. Last year I was with the previous US ambassador, and she spoke to me very vehemently about how worried she was about the Port of Chancay. And it was a Biden Government. It is a great decision by Peru to have that port. Chancay transforms us into an international hub. But there is that suspicion with which I do not agree at all; It is looking for three feet to the cat. China has always sought to be independent and have security of its supplies. I’m suddenly naive, but I don’t see the dragon’s claws.

There were always anti-summits in APECbut they were about global issues, not against the Government.

There was an anti-summit, but, as you say, it was about global issues. That should be handled as it was handled at that time. Guarantee the safety of both, but that they are quite far from each other. A APEC It was at the Pentagonito and the other at the UNI. It is essential that they are far away. Let’s say a bomb exploded in San Juan de Lurigancho. It is very far away, but the news gives an image of insecurity. So, it’s not just the insecurity itself, but also the image. Now, the fact that they have declared three non-working days will make it difficult to go out and march. There is not much future for protest. I am sorry that Xi Jinping is not going to Chancay. It is a message that we would not want to have: “I am not going there for security reasons.”

Will Valencia affect President Sánchez?

Yes, he was hit, but the possibility of being able to distribute the money for the recovery of Valencia will make up for it.

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