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n the Russia-Ukraine war more than 30 weeks have passed and nothing is clear. Every day more doubts arise. At first it seemed like a matter of days. It was the confrontation of the feared military power of Russia with a million troops standing and the alleged weakness of the Ukrainian force made it presumable.
Personally, I thought it would be a surgical war: attacking from the air or from a long distance government centers, telecommunications, railways, power plants, etc., but no. Putin and his marshals went the old-fashioned way: a frontal ground attack and side encirclements plus surprisingly limited air support. Why?
At times it seemed that President Zelensky had succeeded in stopping the Russian invasion. In addition to actor, effective strategist? He seems so. To the effective direction of his operations must be added the enormous political and logistical support received from the US, Germany and the United Kingdom.
Those countries, leaders in NATO, speak of promoting peace by delivering rivers of money and massive amounts of war material that they will already collect. NATO, being the origin of the beautiful casedoes not openly issue anything compromising.
Given this highly topical case, substantively in any analysis, it should be remembered that this organization was born for war, review the treaty. A war in principle not active, political, deaf, constant in its purpose of reducing the scope of the USSR. He was ruthless against the influence of that country on Eastern Europe.
In response, only in response, the Kremlin promotes the Warsaw Pact as a reaction to the creation of NATO, but until 1955, six years later and disappearing in 1991. So what we are seeing is one more kick of the start of a deaf war that the US has promoted since 1949. It is one more aggression by Yankee imperialism and the interests of the countries of Western Europe. We must consider history.
Putin, eager to vindicate Russia’s real or perceived territorial rights, launched into an invasion of Ukraine, but inexplicably put off the full use of his tanks, planes and rocketry for another day, stalling his invasion.
The war doctrine of the Russian armies has always been to draw the enemy into its vast territory and finish them there, which does not coincide with its invasion. But it seems that it was President Zelensky who let them in.
US troops stationed in Western Europe are strong in highly mobile, firepowered troops, fit for immediate ground assault, prepared for a blitzkrieg, which can be anticipated not to happen. You can’t start a war that gets out of control.
Of the nuclear weapons owned by both sides, it can well be said that only the devil would fire them. After triggering the first there will be nothing left to be counted. That would be the end of the story. That is perhaps one reason for the Spanish and Italian whisper. Both with air and land bases that would surely be identified as strategic targets in a general conflict.
A war that only generates doubts? For today it is the one that as spectators we are living. The US, covering its own interests, throws the stone and hides its hand. While its president, desperate to win the November 1 elections, surprises by provoking his adversaries (China and North Korea) and smiling at his allies (South Korea and Japan) and, incredibly, even the always forgotten Puerto Rico. While its internal front burns on several fronts. They are powders of those muds, mr. Biden.
Doubts are increasing, as Putin seemed to abandon his strategy of winning the invasion by arms and cunningly took over four Ukrainian regions until the day before. It seems like a very Russian ruse that should be read as a gimmicky political act.
Thus, he jumps from a military maneuver to a political act. In this surprising line, he extolled the triumph of the new operation with a noisy celebration in the Kremlin itself, intentionally surrounded by the high nomenclature, which he published urbi et orbi. We are winning! That was the message, but… the next day he returns to the use of his preferred weapon, artillery with effects on kyiv itself as an extreme act.
We doubt how this war could come to a impasse, may resemble Korea or Vietnam. While opening sores to Western industry and finance. Enigmatic are the drags that this will have for half the world. When trying to decipher the nature of the new geopolitics and geoeconomy, more doubts arise and only one slogan: Stop it now!
Amid so much uncertainty, only three things seem clear: 1) the universe will be divided by the clash of two civilizations; 2) impossible, to predict when and how the active phase of the conflict will end, and 3) we know who in the end will pay for the war, the usual screwups.
With this, wrapped in doubts, we all marched to who knows where.
