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Just weeks ago the United States (EU) reported having moved its most sophisticated submarine, equipped with nuclear warheads, to waters north of the British Isles from where important Russian targets would be within range of its missiles.
What a boast, because the ostentatious news is unimportant if one takes into account that for decades there has been intimidation through colossal long-range missiles. They were located in the US or in allied countries. Many vital Russian targets have been within firing range since then.
It seems that the spectacular maneuver is part of an operation with more psychological than practical effects, aimed at maintaining a pre-war environment.
His destiny is not only to frighten Vladimir Putin. Rather, it seems that maintaining the war in Ukraine is the prelude to a new form of Western harassment, now 70 years old, since 1949 when the organization was created precisely to besiege the then USSR.
Bravado does not scare Putin or his medallion marshals. If the Russian has something left over, it is coldness, calculation and experience. He doesn’t see ghosts. And it is surprising that American biographical intelligence analysts and his vast resources have not penetrated to Putin’s soul and anticipated the logic of his moves.
He knows very well that NATO and President Zelensky will not, negatively, start a war that, whatever its original nature, would inevitably turn into a general war, nuclear in its last expression. They well know that this will not happen and Putin too. They don’t scare him.
Concurrently, the tight setback to the Democratic Party in the US midterm elections operates, the additional effect of which will be to sharpen Biden’s already complex presidential exercise. Biden and his hawks have enough trouble to open a front, which with abundant and unstoppable bleeding can lead to immolation. They will not.
Americans, their NATO allies and other countries aware of the side effects of war are warning that a costly impasse which could be similar to cold War, to Korea, Vietnam or Afghanistan.
Because, beyond the circumstances existing at the end of the cold war, today East-West relations should focus on the question of achieving status, since no armed solution is in sight.
By failing to do so, today we live in an uncertain situation with the veiled threat of an open military conflict, an ambiguity that creates great servitude. Meanwhile, we will continue playing cat and mouse.
On the part of the US, continuing to try to expand NATO at the expense of Russia would be the most fateful mistake since the beginning of the cold War. Confronting the then USSR has been their mission since 1949. Their hawks they should calculate that such a stance may further inflame the nationalist, anti-Western and militaristic impulses in Russian opinion. Such is the passionate soul of Mother Russia. Watch out!
We have already written: we would be starting a war of civilizations. It would be to overheat East-West relations and push Russian foreign policy in directions that do not lead to anything constructive. Where is China, India or Syria in this East-West clash?
Thus, while NATO and its preceptor, the US, are entangled with his tail, Putin prepares to swim in the icy waters of some frozen lake. Thus, everything moves, but everything is stopped. It is the characteristic of the moment, in which there is no warning that it has an end.
For Gen. Tod D. Wolters, NATO’s Supreme Commander, having served in the Gulf, Iraq and Afghanistan wars, it must be an unpleasant experience to accept that he will spend the last experience of his career mired in simulations, bravado and playing golf.
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg announced the alert of 300,000 soldiers, who are always in such a state because they are basically Americans quartered in Europe. We will help Ukraine in the transition from the Soviet era to NATO modernity
It was his last bluff.
He also regretted that Russia has triggered the biggest security crisis in Europe since World War II
and boasted, valiant, that, in the face of the Russian challenge, NATO responded with strength and unity
a boast of the so-called psychological warfare that only works for naive people.
The reality is that Europe is once again the geostrategic chessboard where world hegemony is settled. It is the Armageddon of Eastern and Western civilizations. There are two times to attend: 1) an immediate time that is the following weeks and until the end of winter with the insufficiencies of gas and food; 2) Another time is that of tomorrow, with an imprecise profile, but which will realign the powers. It remains to hear a very long roll.
