SAN LUIS POTOSÍ, Mexico.- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States is monitoring three tropical waves and predicts that two of them could become depressions in the Atlantic area over the next few days.
In the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean, a wave with an area of disorganized showers is monitored.
It is expected that the conditions The weather is expected to become less conducive for its development by the weekend, but the event could produce locally heavy rains and winds across the Cabo Verde Islands in the next day or two.
Sep 3 | A tropical wave in the Central Caribbean is producing scattered thunderstorms, gusty winds, & seas to 8 ft across Hispaniola & adjacent waters. For more information about the marine forecast please visit: https://t.co/26J6Uoh0VW pic.twitter.com/tnzTLQo70K
— NHC_TAFB (@NHC_TAFB) September 3, 2024
In addition, another wave is found in the Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean, halfway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
Its development is slow but it has a 10% chance of turning into depression within 48 hours and a greater chance of developing within a week.
The conditions are favorable in the area for the events to strengthen. Another tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea.
As this system moves, it is possible that it will strengthen when it reaches the western Caribbean Sea and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later this week or over the weekend and has a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression within a week but no chance of strengthening within 48 hours.
High cyclonic activity for 2024
In a recent update to the forecast seasonal, specialists from the Institute of Meteorology of Cuba reaffirmed their initial projections on the hurricane season of 2024, highlighting a “very active” behavior in the North Atlantic basin, which also includes the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.
Dr. Miriam Teresita Llanes Monteagudo, head of the Institute’s Forecast Center, explained that, for the rest of the season, the formation of 15 tropical storms is expected in this geographic area, of which nine could evolve into hurricanes.
The analysis states that, of the total number of storms forecast, 12 will develop in the Atlantic ocean zone, while three could originate in the Caribbean Sea.
The odds of a hurricane The probability of originating and intensifying in the Caribbean is 85%, and there is a 70% chance that a hurricane originating in the Atlantic will penetrate the Caribbean region.
In addition, the risk of Cuba being hit by at least one hurricane stands at 80%, while the probability of at least one tropical storm hitting the country reaches 90%.
