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July 1, 2022
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Forecast formation of a tropical storm in the southwestern Caribbean Sea

Gráfico: Twitter de @NHC_Atlantic

An atmospheric disturbance moving over the southwestern Caribbean Sea should become a storm tropical, although it would not affect Cuba, according to official media.

According to the part of the National Hurricane Center of the United States (NHC, for its acronym in English), and reviewed by the agency Latin Press (PL)in the morning hours the system was located near latitude 12.0 North, longitude 73.3 West, and was moving towards the West at 31 kilometers per hour, a speed that should continue during the night.

On the forecast track, the system will move through the southwestern Caribbean Sea during this Friday, cross the southern Nicaragua or north of Costa Rica tomorrow night, and will emerge over the Pacific Ocean next Saturday.

The publication points out that some strengthening is expected as the system approaches Central America, after which it would experience a weakening when it crosses over Central American territory before touching sea again in the Pacific Ocean, where it would become better organized again.

NHC experts pointed out that conditions seem favorable for the development of this system, and predicted that it will become a tropical storm as it decelerates over the southwestern sea. Caribbeanwith a 90% probability of formation in the next 48 hours.

The center that monitors the formation and development of these atmospheric phenomena also monitored two other systems in the Atlantic basinincluding a low-pressure trough in the northern Gulf of Mexico, which is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

In the current hurricane season in the Atlantic, which began on June 1, there has only been one storm, named Alex, formed on June 5 near the Yucatan Peninsula with the remnants of the hurricane Agatha, the first this year in the Pacific area. Alex caused rains in the Yucatan and western Cuba and southern Florida.

If the forecast of the specialists is fulfilled, this year there would be between 14 and 21 tropical storms, with which the cyclone activity would be above the established average (14) for the seventh consecutive year.



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