Cifra’s question to the population was one: “If the elections were held today, who would you vote for?” The poll was closed on February 27 and the result was announced this week, with these voting intentions:
-43% Broad Front
-30% National Party
-3% Colorado Party
-2% Open Town Hall
-1% Independent Party
-19% blank votes, do not know or do not answer.
Raga: The Faithful and the Rebels
When the Colorado Party governed and the National Party was its collaborator or vice versa, the “intention” to vote was more “towards the government party”, the same is happening now with the National Party, the government party is “more visible” and has more intention of votes, the Director of Cifra pointed out to EL ECO.
In her analysis, Raga pointed out that the Broad Front is “better positioned” than in the 2019 elections “because it is in the opposition.”
There are also coalition voters who are discouraged that “some” issues of the electoral campaign have not materialized, and now express that they would vote for the opposition for “rebellion.”
The National Party, because it is governing, has a logical wear. Raga noted that “the government has a year and a half left” to tip the balance in its favor as in 2019, and is heading towards “changes” that “the population demands.” In addition, there is a percentage that “does not change their vote” something that happens in all parties, there is a “faithful” electorate.
When asked about the decrease in voters in the Colorado Party, he pointed out that there is an issue that is not less than “the lack of a leader” defined. When it has a leader, it will be possible to evaluate what the behavior of the Colorado electorate will be.
In last place is Cabildo Abierto with a 2% intention to vote if the national elections were held now. Raga pointed out that “there are voters who do not say who they are voting for” and among them “there are from the Cabildo”, beyond the fact that the party has a defined leader such as Guido Manini Ríos.
What the 19% say
The center of the survey is in the 19% of citizens who said they had not defined their vote or that they would vote blank or did not disclose who they would vote for, said the president of Cifra.
The blank votes are around “3 or 4%” in each national election, therefore, a high percentage will be pronounced at the polls, that’s why nothing is said. There are no winners or losers, only the intention to vote of the citizens who said who they would vote for if the national elections were held now.
To whom the survey does not reach. The population of low socio-cultural context and the elderly “do not” participate in the surveys, because directly “we have no way to get there,” said Raga. They do not respond by phone or online or in person, although logically they carry out their civic work and go to vote.
