Analysts of international politics affirmed that the future of Syria is uncertain after the overthrow of the regime of Bashar Assad early this Sunday by groups rebels fundamentalists and agree that the situation is a sign that Russia It is focused on its war against Ukraine.
Jatzel Román said that there is a long history in the Middle East of fallen regimes that meant an uproar due to the hopes of a transition of greater freedoms, towards institutions, but also of groups that take advantage of situations such as the current situation. Syria to consolidate political, even theocratic, spaces.
He gave as an example that when the regime of the Shah of Iran, Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi, four decades ago, caused expressions of celebration, but it ended up giving way to regime theocratic that is known today.
Similarly, in America with the fall of the dictatorship of the Somoza family in Nicaragua, it generated a great celebration and what that country is today in the hands of Daniel Ortega and family, among other cases.
“Right now we must focus on the striking fact that a dynastic family of five and a half decades in power, a regime of six decades that seemed to be entrenched in the reins of power, which led a bloody 13-year civil war that converted the population Syria in refugees throughout Europe, fell as we are seeing now and that fills us with hope,” he said.
They understand that the analysis also implies that the fall of the regime of Assad would have to do with the resources that Russia has had to dedicate to the war with Ukraine and whether it is a direct impact against Iran, but it is too early to reach those conclusions.
For his part, international expert Juan José Martínez considered that the dramatic events currently occurring in Syria It is part of a geopolitical strategy promoted by powers contrary to Russia and above all to try to weaken the capacity of that country, the main military ally of Syria.
He estimated that the precipitous way in which the regime of Syria shows that Russia It did not have the capacity nor did it want to focus its military response on that country and emphasized that it is a geopolitical situation in the area, basically sponsored by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the United States themselves. USA.
“I think that the population Syria Difficult days await you because what has come to power are terrorist groups that have associated themselves with that purpose and the most that can happen there is perhaps a repeat of the situation that occurred in Libya, after the collapse of the regime of Gaddafi that Libya has practically become an ungovernable country” said Martínez.
For Professor Iván Gatón, the conflict in Syria It demonstrates a world in geopolitical chaos because those who overthrow the government are people linked to Islamic fundamentalism. We have to see how that country is going to function if Islamic fundamentalists govern it.
“Another element that demonstrates the Syria It is like the most determining actors in a conflict of that magnitude are not the old and most recognized powers because we see that Türkiye was the determining factor there, which supports the regime of Bashar Assadto a large extent it was the regime Iranian with support, of course from Moscow, but if we see on the other hand that there are the Kurds who are enemies of Turkey who are the ones who have an area of Syrian territory, it shows that there are multiple actors who are involved there, that what is shows is a multipolar, chaotic world.
He highlighted that with the case of Syria It is shown that the Islamic world is not homogeneous, that in the West it is thought that Muslims are all equal, but that we must be aware of the complexity of the current world due to its ethnic, religious and political elements.
While Ronny de la Rosa, also an international analyst, hopes that in Syria a democratic government is installed like the one that has not existed in the last 50 years. He remembered that the regime what headed Bashar Assadwas one of the few left from the so-called “Arab Spring”.
“You have to see how Russia handles that case because he is losing a significant ally and the rebels They now have the responsibility of establishing a government through a peaceful transition, as they have said, but it remains to be seen if that is fulfilled, if it is a reality.
