M
Edio year may seem like a Flash in the vast chronology of global history, a mere prelude to the drama of international relations. However, the first six months of the second presidency of Donald Trump have felt, for many, as a whole decade. The magnitude of its impact, the disruption that has engendered and the redefinition of paradigms that it has orchestrated are so deep that time seems to have distorted under its leadership.
From the first day the Trump administration has cimbrado the very idea of globalization. The multilateral trade agreements have been dismantled or placed in question, replaced by a bilateral negotiation strategy that prioritizes national interests over transnational cooperation. This turn has forced companies and governments to emphasize their strategies, anticipating a future where the free movement of goods and services is no longer an unwavering premise, but a privilege to negotiate.
In the geopolitical plane, the Trump administration has strengthened Israel’s position in the Middle East in an unprecedented way. This policy, although aligned with certain ideological sectors of the United States, has had a devastating human and political cost. The situation in Gaza, with its incessant cycle of violence and its civilian population subject to unimaginable suffering, is a testimony of the consequences of unbalanced diplomacy.
The prioritization of strategic alliances, without full consideration of humanitarian repercussions and long -term regional stability, has created a dusty whose impact will be felt for generations.
For Mexico, Trump’s second presidency has meant an intensification of hostility. As a commercial partner and vital neighbor, Mexico has been recurrently converted into the favorite adversary, an scapegoat for nationalist rhetoric. The demonization of Mexicans in the United States and the implementation of draconian immigration policies have unleashed a true hunt that combines political theater with manifest and deliberate cruelty.
But, six months in power, how does President Donald Trump go in terms of public opinion, taking away the nationalist bias and passions that his figure awakens? It is essential to resort to surveys, imperfect but valuable instruments to measure the pulse of citizen feeling.
Gallup reports a significant fall, with Trump’s approval descending to 37 percent, its lowest point in this second term. This decrease is largely attributed to the loss of support among independent voters, whose approval has dropped to 29 percent. Ipsos maintains its approval index at 41 percent, with 54 percent disapproval, while the Marquette Law School Poll places it at 45 percent.
Particularly revealing is Trump’s performance among the Latin community, a sector of the population that, it hurts to say it, was a faithful of the balance in its 2024 victory. Although in the elections it received considerable support, the most recent surveys show a pattern of decrease in its approval. According to Emerson College Polling, Trump’s approval among Hispanics is 38 percent. More worrying for the administration is the study of Equis Research, which indicates that only 38 percent of Hispanic voters approve of Trump’s performance, while 60 percent disapprove of it. The immediate future of Trump’s presidency will be marked by the battle for Congress in 2026. Winning these mid -period elections will be essential to maintain the impetus and power that holds today. The bad news for anyone who does not commune with his agenda today, for those who yearn for a return to stability, cooperation and a more predictable foreign policy, is that Donald Trump cannot be relegated in 2028. This circumstance eliminates any incentive to kill his positions or balances the maelstrom that has been his administration until today.
Without the pressure of a future electoral campaign, it is likely that the second half of its second mandate is an amplification of what we have seen: an intensification of its most controversial policies, a deepening of polarization and a continuous redefinition of international standards. The next decade, de facto, has already begun, and is being forged, for better or worse, in the melting pot of the presidency of Donald Trump, who, we do not hesitate, only knows how to fold bets.
