Cuba will face from this first of June, and until November 30, the hurricane season with a 35% probability of being affected by at least one tropical cyclone with hurricane category.
The Institute of Meteorology (Insmet) announced at the beginning of May that of 11 tropical cyclones in the area, seven could form in the Atlantic Ocean, two in the Caribbean Sea and two in the Gulf of Mexico.
This year, Prensa Latina points out, the number of named tropical organisms should be slightly less than the historical average of 14.
Meanwhile, Colorado State University, in the United States, predicts the formation of 13 tropical storms, of which six would become hurricanes.
According to the forecast for May, the sea surface temperature was warmer than normal between January and March in the tropical belt of the North Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea. This situation could be prolonged, say the specialists, until favoring the formation and development of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin.
The 2022 season closed with a total of 14 tropical cyclones in the region, between tropical storms and hurricanes.
Then, eight hurricanes named Danielle, Earl, Fiona, Ian, Julia, Lisa, Martin and Nicole formed, of which only Fiona and Ian became of great intensity.
The last hurricane that severely affected western Cuba was Ian in September 2022. In this part of the national territory, it severely affected agriculture after heavy rains and winds that reached up to 200 kilometers per hour.
Ian left 21,259 hectares damaged, mainly in the provinces of Pinar del Río, Artemisa, Mayabeque and to a lesser extent Havana, according to figures from the Ministry of Agriculture.
A tropical cyclone is a low pressure system formed in the oceans, accompanied by a wide area of clouds, rains, showers and electrical storms.