PUERTO PADRE, Cuba.- The panorama Cuban socio-politics today is profusely changing although a new class that is coming to power claims to be “continuity” of Fidel Castro, already distant enough to take advantage of his footprints, which were, in themselves, in great strides if not on confident stilts that no one today lend
Dissimilar causes and conditionsall systemic of the so-called “dictatorship of the proletariat”, and that boost it, but that act like a boomerang when they stop working, embroil the already little Castro wool in what Max Weber called “routinization of the charisma”, in this case, poison from the well-known economic hardships and the alarming demographic figures due to population loss, to the moral degradation, of civic values of overwhelming cynicism, both in old and in new generations, transformed into transgressors of proper citizen customs, and, in short, into crimes, which are committed not only by what we criminologists usually call the “delinquent person,” but also by apparently circumspect militants of the Communist Party of Cuba. (PCC).
From such a panorama it is possible to think that, by the end of 2024, the central management of the Ministry of the Interior (MININT) must have ordered or may be about to order a very exhaustive update of study, analysis and appreciation of the operational situation of all the objectives under its jurisdiction. that comprise from any neighborhood, city, countryside, coast or mountain of Cuba and its population, to all institutions, governmental, non-governmental. government and ministries that make up the Cuban State, except the Ministry of the Revolutionary Armed Forces (MINFAR), which, as well-known as it is, reminds us of an autonomous State within the Cuban State due to its military, political, economic and business, national and transnational structure. , not subordinated or subject to audits or inspections of civil government institutions.
If this assessment of the operational situation of the entire country has been carried out, professionally, objectively, as if it were a clinical examination, layer by layer, organ by organ, structure by structure of Cuba and the Cubans, the researchers will have already arrived or they will be about to reach these conclusions: The socialist State is a fiction as codified in the Constitution.
The powers of the State, even if it is totalitarian, are in danger from the collapse of society and its leading cadres more than from sedition. The disrespect of Cubans – with honorable exceptions – for themselves, for their fellow human beings, for the principle of good faith, for the property of others, for neighborly relations, for the laws, and in short for customary law, which is that of custom. , corrode the foundations of the Cuban nation and the State like saltpeter corrodes steel discovered in reinforced concrete.
Fidel Castro made himself so revered, he demolished the values individual and collective of people and families moved as masses, he standing out as a messiah, who dwarfed even Raúl Castro, his own brother and second in command from 1959 until when due to illness he had to take his place in the now distant 2006; and today it continues to be a trap for the leaders of the PCC of “continuity”, described as mere caricatures of the “maximum leader” by many people who still feel revolutionary, born after the 60s, 70s, 80s and perhaps even 90s of the last century.
This socioeconomic and, above all, moral degradation of the Cuban nation and the shrinking of its leaders will lead – if a rebellion with tragic consequences does not occur first – a change, which will not happen, as I have pointed out on other occasions, with the biological death of Raúl Castro.
The death of Raúl Castro, royal head of the regime Castro-communist totalitarian, will not mean the fall of the dictatorship from one day to the next, because, as we know, after the disappearance of Fidel Castro from the political scene and from the entire country, the direction of the regime is in the hands of the Political Bureau of the PCC. Within this, the command is held by very specific positions, who have taken over all the powers of the State, and not only the executive, legislative and judicial power, but also the culture and intellectuals, the students, the universities, the unions. , the unions, the liberal professions made up of lawyers, journalists and arts professionals, and thought and citizenship as a nation, with such castration of the sentiment and gestation of the civic group, there is little space left for the broadcast of free thought, but a lot of ground for insidiousness, political collusion and of course, for corruption and the misappropriation of funds and the public company.
With this sociopolitical panorama in Cuba, aggravated by an unprecedented economic crisis without a solution without an authentic, plural democratic opening, with all those burdens and added that of adverse international relations, at some point in 2025, perhaps, we will observe starting from the dome of the regime, yes, from the dome of the PCC – and take the word dome as an act of taming and at the same time as an elevated point –, a sign of change, which we have not even remotely thought about after so many speeches and harangues of “socialism or death.” Without peremptory processes at this point in time, for those who are actually or potentially very well situated economically, it will be preferable to retain economic power even if they lose political power.
The making of that decision can start from themselves in the political-military leadership of the regime, without dialogues, conversations or negotiations with absolutely anyone, honoring the Manifesto to the People of Cuba, signed in the Sierra Maestra on July 12, 1957. Enough call for the formation of parties and democratic elections with national and international observation. The polls will tell. It will be worse for everyone if the state of necessity continues and rebellion and justice are imposed by their own hands.
