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the Mexican population wants a change of course in the entity that goes, according to demoscopic studies, from 62 to 77 percent (newspaper Reform).
Delfina leads all the polls at the close of the pre-campaigns. The minimum estimate was provided by The financial with 8 points of advantage, while others give up to 25 points. Many of these with questioned methodologies. Reform just reported 14 percent, a reasonable average. In a survey in housing with identification, the most reliable methodology shows that Delfina has 51 percent of the voting intentions, while Alejandra del Moral has 41 percent and the absent Juan Cepeda only four. The survey was applied from February 14 to 20. It also registers that close to 30 percent of voters still doubt who they will opt for. Despite the comfortable advantage in the pre-campaigns, everyone is expecting a very competitive election and most likely a judicial one.
The underlying question is who represents the change. Morena and her candidate Delfina Gómez? Or the PRI, which in Edomex is the government and at the federal level together with its allies is the opposition. Morena could benefit from this aspiration, it is a central part of her political offer, but there is uncertainty due to the poor results of the municipalities that Morena governed in 2018 and that she lost in the 2021 midterms. As well as the natural wear and tear of four years of the workerism in power.
Del Moral carries a negative burden and it is the perception that the public has of the PRI linked to corruption and a mediocre management of Alfredo del Mazo. The candidate also from the PAN will drag the social reproaches of García Luna as a high drug official of the Calderón government.
The Mexican PRI is different from the national PRI. alito It has taken charge not only of fragmenting the party, but of further discrediting it with its embarrassing behavior of corruption and vulgarity. Since 2016, the PRI at the federal level has lost geopolitical territoriality; it barely retains three entities. Precisely the jewel in the crown, Edomex, faces its most powerful adversary.
The case of the Mexican PRI, as we said, is cooked apart. Behind it is the shadow of the most powerful political group in the country: the so-called Grupo Atlacomulco. It has a wide disciplined and experienced militancy. A lot of money and, above all, it has control of the local government that in electoral periods becomes a great electoral machine, until now invincible. It is no coincidence that the PRI has held power for 94 years in the state. On the other hand, the PRI and its allies, PAN and PRD, had a better performance in the last midterm election in 2021 than Morena and its allies.
His candidate Del Moral looks young, dynamic and substantial. With determination, she wants to defend Edomex from the populist threat of Morena. Until now, her positions have been reactive and deconstructive. How is she going to integrate this desire for change when she carries the heavy ballast of the PRI. Alejandra del Moral has not presented a state project for the entity, nor has she distanced herself from the great ballasts of her party or personalities stained by corruption. The message she sent photographed, raised by her hands, from one side to the other, was surprising and contradictory. alito and on the other by Arturo Montiel, two characters twinned with voracious corruption. The great challenge for him is to build his own narrative of change from continuity. Or break with the old and rotten image of the old Mexican PRI.
If the Va por México coalition in Edomex is defeated in the entity, the final judgment is coming for the tricolor in the electoral battle. The PRI will face its survival both on a state and national scale. If he loses the election he will enter an extinction slide. So forceful. The election to governor is not another edition, in short: the PRI is risking its dissolution.
Many continue to doubt the low profile of Governor Del Mazo and interpret it as a sign of the delivery of the plaza. However, the facts speak. And they point out that the PRI is going with everything to preserve power in the state of Mexico. It is no coincidence that all the former governors, except Peña Nieto, attended the closing of the pre-campaign. The visible heads of the Atlacomulco Group. Going with everything to stay in power represents updating old practices of the PRI tradition of fraud, war dirty and the waste of resources. Others put forward a third option: that AMLO hand over the plaza to the atlacomulcos in exchange for agreements on current and future constitutional reforms and pacts that pave the way for Morena for the presidential elections. Does the PRI have such strength to negotiate? Or, rather, does Morena distinguish the PAN as the real enemy to defeat in 2024?
Delfina and Alejandra; one of them will govern the Edomex. One of the entities with the patriarchal culture as a quagmire and extreme misogyny. The high degree of violence against women and femicides is not fortuitous. That the state of Mexico is governed by a woman is an important and even revolutionary event.
