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November 21, 2022
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Arturo Balderas Rodríguez: The immediate future of President Biden

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l accolade that the voters given to the Democratic Party a week ago has not necessarily translated into an increase in the popularity of President Biden. Against this backdrop, his decision regarding the possibility of being re-elected in two years has become a great unknown among the US political class and, of course, among members of his party. The main elements of this dilemma are his age and the doubt about his replacement in the candidacy for the presidency in 2024. What is evident is the inability to assess in all its dimension what Biden has achieved in the little more than two years in those who have governed, after receiving a country that had collapsed for four years from a government that favored lies, corruption and insidiousness. History will take care of making a fairer judgment.

For now, it is worth mentioning two of the reasons that could explain why no credit is attributed to the extraordinary way in which a handful of candidates from his party literally rose from the canvas to defeat their Republican opponents. It has been insisted that one of the key factors in the defeat of a good number of the Republican candidates was the terrible selection that Trump and his acolytes in the Republican Party made to guarantee his nomination. For a good number of political observers, it was the cause that voters voted for Democratic lawmakers, governors and assemblymen. Indeed, by voting in favor of the Democrats, in many cases, he feared the candidates who represented the disastrous policy that Trump imposed during his four years in office. But that’s only part of the story. For many voters, the president’s policy and achievements in the areas of health, social and economic policy did not go unnoticed and he could have influenced when he cast his vote at the polls. For them, the efforts made by the president in these areas are not a fortuitous or trivial matter. That is apparently the conclusion that Biden and his advisers have also reached.

With this backdrop, Biden’s decision, which he will surely make in the first months of the year, regarding his possible candidacy for re-election has a weight that cannot be ignored. Despite the mistakes made and those that his detractors attribute to him, the pause and discretion in his decisions have largely avoided divisions among the members of his party, contrary to what happened with the leadership that Trump has exercised in the Republican Party. The caution with which Biden has responded to his opponents’ attacks has unnerved many Democrats, but it has earned him respect among not a few of his political opponents and, more importantly, in a society fed up with divisiveness and sectarianism. political polarization of the last four years. In the far from remote event that Biden considers it appropriate to hand over the baton to another candidate in his party, these are some of the characteristics that a society concerned about the future of democracy believes whoever decides to launch his candidacy to succeed him should have. 2024. That is or should be the lesson that some editorials can warn about the result of the recent election.

With this background scenario, two more events shake US politics. Nancy Pelosi resigns from the leadership of the Democratic representation in the House of Representatives. With her decision, she opens a watershed from which a new generation of leaders will emerge.

Donald Trump announces his candidacy for the presidency in 2024 and at the same time the Department of Justice appoints a special prosecutor to initiate a formal trial against him. He will finally face justice in at least two crimes for which he could be sent to prison.

Democrats and Republicans enter decisive moments in the future of their respective political institutes.

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