November 30, 2024, 12:19 PM
November 30, 2024, 12:19 PM
The survey What did the businessman do? Marcelo Clauregenerated a lot of expectation and once the results were published there were voices that expressed their doubts and suspicions, especially from the political sphere of the country, since They classify it as ‘directed’, ‘suspicious’, they observed several errors in the sum of the percentages, For example, in one department the total votes add up to 120%, in others it is 100% and in the rest 70%.
Why is Evo Morales being taken into account as a presidential candidate, if he is disqualified? is a question that is insistently repeated to Claure after he published the last part of his survey on the X network. The doubts about the company that carried out the survey, which they have not heard of: Panterra.
Claure in a message chain on network X, defended the study that he ordered to be done from the United States, where it lies, to show the reality of the country. And he also defended that Morales continue to be taken into account because, according to him, in Bolivia the laws change from one day to the next and It would not be responsible to exclude the coca grower leader.
“Many people ask me why Evo is included in the polls if he is disqualified. My answer is that, from what I have learned, in Bolivia. Everything can change and nothing is certain. “The laws change so quickly that it would be irresponsible to rule out Evo in the polls,” reads one of the businessman’s posts.
Among other points, the survey signed by Panterra, on the topic of presidential elections, includes Morales and Manfred Reyes Villa and places them with 18% preference in a hypothetical scenario in which both apply.
Below them are Samuel Doria Medina (13%), Jorge Tuto Quiroga and Luis Fernando Camacho (9%)Carlos Mesa (6%) and in last place is the president Luis Arce with just 4%.
Reviews
The former vice minister and former ambassador of Bolivia in Venezuela, Sebastián Michel, made four observations to the survey in the sums of the percentages. “This survey presents a gross error in summation and deliberately hides information, it is suspicious, to say the least, to be taken seriously.”
What errors did Michel see?
“1. On the national ballot it puts Mesa and not on the departmental ballots, “Why is that?” he asks.
“2. Camacho has 1% voting intention in Santa Cruz, hard to believe“On the other hand, it has 25% in Cochabamba.”
“3. The total votes from Cochabamba add up to 120%; of the rest of the departments, including El Alto, the sum never reaches 100%; For example, Santa Cruz reaches 72%,” observes the politician
4. And the fourth observation is that “of the departments that do not add up to 100% it can be understood that the presentation hides some results, But what can be understood about Cochabamba that adds up to more than 100%?”
The analyst and retired military man Jorge Santistevan disapproved of Claure’s survey and described it as “totally directed towards massist functionalism”and said that that study, nor Claure have credibility.
“How can we believe that a person who, in the 36 days of strike, never spoke out in favor of the census struggle is in first place? ¿How can we believe it from a person who praised and approved the management of Luis Arce, classifying him as a good ruler?” were some of the darts that Santistevan launched. “This is a survey that distorts reality.”
Former president and opposition leader Jorge Tuto Quiroga downplayed Claure’s survey, stating that, like his own that he ordered, there will be “hundreds” in the coming months. He noted that, generally, many of them are used for convenience and are “manipulated and grotesquely distorted.”
He gave the example of what happened in the United States, which recently voted to elect a new president. “Nine out of ten polls said that Kamala Harris was going to win”but the results clearly favored Donald Trump.
“Between now and August we are going to see 150 surveys, public surveys, manipulated, some grotesquely distorted. Felipe Gonzales (former president of Spain) was asked: ‘do you believe in public opinion research?’, and he responded: ‘yes, but not so much in published opinion research.’ “They are tools that are also used to manipulate,” Quiroga stated.
The former president observed that businessman Claure ordered surveys to be carried out on the situation in Bolivia from the comfort of his residence in the United States and compared with Bolivian businessmen who did not leave their country.
“I admire Bolivian businessmen who, in the midst of 19 years of a Government that has placed quotas and obstacles on them, that has extorted them with the tax system“They are still standing today,” said Quiroga in reference to Claure’s actions, who analyze and give his opinion on the Bolivian situation from his residence abroad.
