PAN, PRI and PRD facing the challenge of solving internal crises before 2023 and 2024

For the political scientist Martín Reyes, the crisis that the three leaderships are experiencing “goes far beyond who is in the presidency of a party. That is to say, if tomorrow Marko Cortés leaves, ‘Alito’ Moreno leaves or Zambrano leaves and someone else arrives with the same procedures and with leadership decisions, I don’t think anything is going to change”.

Meanwhile, Baños Martínez, former director of the National Electoral Institute (INE), estimates that in the face of the questions that each party is experiencing, the main thing is to fine-tune internal and external strategies to face the upcoming electoral commitments.

“A separation of the leaders could only revive the internal disputes of the parties, and today –beyond having internal lawsuits to define who the leaders are and who will lead the negotiations on the 23rd and 24th–, PAN, PRI and PRD have to fine-tune their strategies and dialogue with the militancy”, he advises.

Crisis beyond the leaders

“A natural reaction of the militants of the parties is to request the resignation of their leadership in the face of the meager results obtained in the last elections in Aguascalientes, Durango, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, Tamaulipas and Quintana Roo, in which, as an alliance, Va por México it only retained the first two”, explains María Marván.

“In a democratic system, the problem is not the differences, the problem is that they want to be resolved without adhering to the regulations. The statutes are not law, but it is important that they be respected,” he adds.

– Is a change of leadership advisable or not?– he is asked.

-The truth is that it is a very difficult question to answer. If the change of leadership is going to cause a rupture in the party, it will not help them advance towards 23rd, much less 24th.

And if the change of leadership takes place through an agreement between the leaders of each of the parties and their base of militants, and they do it in an orderly manner and, above all, reach consensus, it may be that the renewal helps them to have a better traction for future elections.

-Would Morena benefit from a breakup?

-That’s how it is. I think they are two different issues. One is how they process their differences within each party and two, whether that is going to unite them or not.

For the former commissioner of the National Institute of Transparency, Access to Information and Protection of Personal Data (INAI), it cannot be affirmed “that if (the three parties) necessarily go together, they win. Unfortunately, we cannot know that. There are still many questions between now and 24.

“To say that ‘united they will win’, and I put it in quotation marks, the truth is a wish that may or may not come true. Speaking and saying that ‘if they change the leadership, the alliance will break’, is not necessarily true either”, external.

The Mexican political scientist and sociologist believes that we are experiencing a very complex scenario in which we have Morena and her allies (PT and PVEM) experiencing their internal processes and the joint process, although they do not function as a single party either. And on the other hand, PAN, PRI and PRD trying to integrate as a single team thinking that this way they will arrive stronger.

“Yes, there are clearly signs of an internal crisis both in the PAN and in the PRI, as well as in the PRD, and the way in which they resolve it is going to be the possibility of success that they have in an alliance.

“If they remove Alejandro Moreno –to speak of the PRI–, the bad way, and that generates a rupture in the party, we are in a very bad scenario. On the other hand, if it stays the wrong way and that generates a break in the party, we have a very bad chance that they will come out stronger. The only way for them to come out stronger is for them to process their differences based on whatever agreements they may have,” he advises.