A little less than three months before 2026 presidential electionvoting intention remains highly fragmented. According to the most recent survey of Institute of Peruvian Studies (IEP), Rafael Lopez Aliaga (Popular Renewal) tops the preferences with just 14.7%,
Then, without statistically significant differences between them, they appear Mario Vizcarra (4.4%), Carlos Alvarez (4.0%), Alfonso López Chau (4.0%), Yohny Lescano (3.2%) and Ricardo Belmont (2.4%). Below are located George Forsyth (1.9%), Cesar Acuna (1.4%), Carlos Espá (1.4%) and Marisol Pérez Tello (1.1%).
However, the most relevant data from the survey is not who is leading, but rather the size of the electorate that is not yet inclined towards any option. 21.8% responded that they “do not need” their vote, while 19.2% indicated that they would not vote for any candidate. Adding the white/null vote (2.9%) and those who say they would not vote (0.6%), the total number of citizens who do not elect anyone reaches 44.5%.
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Differences by segments
Support for López Aliaga It comes mostly from men (17.2%) and is particularly high in Metropolitan Lima (23.1%) and in socioeconomic levels A/B (30.3%), while their support falls significantly in SES D/E (8.7%). Keiko Fujimorimeanwhile, shows a more homogeneous distribution, with a greater presence in rural Peru (9.7%).
The level of indecision is higher in the south of the country, where the percentage of ‘none/nobody’ reaches 31.4%, and among the D/E socioeconomic sectors, in which rejection or lack of definition exceeds 50% when considering all non-choice categories.
