“Although security policy occupies a priority place within the government’s discursive agenda, at a financial level the consolidation of a safe country, the administration of justice and civil governance have ceased to be explicit priorities, displaced by high inertia social and financial spending commitments,” the document highlights.
The FASP is one of the eight funds that make up Branch 33 of Contributions for Federal Entities and Municipalities, the majority of these funds increase automatically, as the Participable Federal Collection (RFP) increases, which is the pool of tax and oil revenues to be distributed between states and municipalities.
But this does not happen with FASP resources, since article 44 of the LCF does not specify a calculation method or a minimum growth rate. Therefore, its amount depends each year on the political and budgetary decision of the Congress of the Union and the SHCP, details México Evalúa.
By 2026, the FASP will have 9,951 million pesos, just 1% (52 million) more than what was approved in 2025, but 29% (4,000 million) less than the maximum reached in 2014, all in real terms.
Crime incidence rises
The decrease in resources transferred to the FASP coincides with a higher incidence of crime in the states. From 2010 to 2024, the crime incidence rate per 100,000 inhabitants increased in total from 30,535 to 34,918 crimes, according to the Public Security Victimization and Perception Survey (ENVIPE) of the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi).
The 10 states with the greatest increases in incidence, in that same period, are: Querétaro, Puebla, State of Mexico, Colima, Morelos, Mexico City, Tlaxcala, Michoacán de Ocampo, San Luis Potosí and Chiapas. The 10 with the greatest decreases are: Aguascalientes, Chihuahua, Sonora, Nayarit, Coahuila, Guerrero, Baja California, Yucatán, Sinaloa and Nuevo León.
Additionally, the perception of insecurity in the municipalities of Mexico went from 60.3% in 2011 to 64.7% in 2025.
With information from Shelma Navarrete.
