“For its position and time of the year the forecast center maintains a close surveillance on the evolution of the system,” said the scientific entity itself.
Miami, United States. – The tropical storm Erin formed Monday at the Eastern Atlantic. “Currently this tropical cyclonic organism offers no danger to Cuba,” said the forecast center of the Institute of Meteorology (INSMET) in its Tropical cyclone notice No. 1 issued at 11:00 am
At that time, the central region of the system was located at 17.4 ° N and 28.0 ° W, 455 kilometers northwest of the Cape Verde Islands already 3,710 kilometers east of the northern group of the minors. Erin presented maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h, upper gusts, central pressure of 1,004 hpa and moved west at 31 km/h.
Regarding the immediate evolution, the forecasting center said that “Erin will continue with similar course and translation speed by gradually gaining in organization and intensity while traveling over open waters of the Eastern Atlantic Ocean.”
Although it does not represent a danger to the Cuban archipelago, the part stressed that “for its position and time of the year the prognosis maintains a close surveillance on the evolution of the system.”
At the beginning of the current cyclonic season (June 1 – November 30), specialists from the forecast centers and the INSMET climate They estimated The formation of 15 tropical storms in the region, of which eight could reach a category of hurricane.
In those estimates, it was also specified that, from the cyclones with expected names, 10 would originate in the Atlantic, three in the Caribbean Sea and two in the Gulf of Mexico. The probabilities indicated indicate that the formation and intensification of at least one hurricane in the Caribbean is high (75%) for one of Atlantic origin to penetrate the Caribbean Sea.
In the 2024 season, 18 organizations were recorded with name: seven tropical storms and 11 hurricanes, five of them category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale, According to Professor Luis Enrique Ramos GuadalupeCoordinator of the History Commission of the Meteorological Society of Cuba.
