The concern then lies in the situation that Mexico will face, but in particular what the Morenista government of President Sheinbaum plans to do. In just a few days in our country a situation of complexities not imagined until recently could be generated. It can be a perfect storm: imposition of tariffs on national products, mass expulsion of undocumented immigrants, demand for specific controls on drug exports, classification of criminal gangs as terrorist organizations, threats of military interventions, taxes on remittances from countrymen, and controls on hydrocarbon export issues to Mexico, among other measures. What a combination of possible acts to see come to fruition in the very short term.
The consequences of these different issues are serious however you want to see them. The central problem is that the Mexican government seems to be severely unprepared for what is coming. As a consequence of the immediate previous six-year term and the consequences of its bad decisions, the teams of negotiators and highly experienced that the federal government had were dispersed, displaced and eliminated. Now we have a commercial conflagration at the door and we do not have the working groups to resolve the imminent crossroads. The will of the president and the Secretaries of Economy and Foreign Relations falls completely short of the complexity of what the incoming president’s taking of measures in the United States entails.
Due to this delicate situation, a call is made to the president of our country and all Morena leaders in the government, the Federal Congress, and other levels of authority. They are in a very complicated moment that requires reevaluating the decisions that have been made on issues such as continuing to waste resources on unviable works, tolerating abuses and dominance of organized crime, not seriously addressing insecurity problems, allowing continued theft. hydrocarbons with impunity, inhibit the healthy functioning of the energy sector, destroy the judiciary without any merit, and in general destroy the real possibilities of rights and freedoms proliferating in the country. In fact they are destroying the country and in doing so making it impossible for them to have any possible success. Relying on the delivery of resources via social programs without responding to the country’s real problems is a very short-term bet, particularly when the government’s operational flow is being undermined to the point where the accounts will eventually fail and will collapse. the house of cards they have created.
Thus, the structural weakening in the interior of the country, added to the terrible image that Mexico has multiplied among the main foreign investors, have generated a climate of economic weakness that is about to exact a high price from the government headed by Dr. Sheinbaum. The finances of the federal government are in a moment of emergency due to the accumulated deficit, the exponential growth of the internal debt, the vacuum caused by the allocation of resources to social programs, the direct subsidy for works and projects that do not work, the galloping debt of Pemex, and the growing pressure of pension payments that increase year after year. The sources of extra resources and reserve amounts that gave room for maneuver in 2018 simply do not exist today. The problem of a time bomb that they have been promoting by bad decisions.
For all of the above, a direct reference is made to President Sheinbaum to distance herself from previous bad decisions, strengthen public finances, close areas of budget spending leaks, stop the absurd way of throwing out the judiciary, resort to proven equipment solvency in matters of international negotiations, generate ample space for the management of deported migrants, avoid issues that are evidently inconsistent with the trade agreement (energy reform), and in general prepare for the defense of rights in accordance with the T-MEC so that the validity of the instrument that today governs the relationship between both nations is not compromised. For these purposes, the president must make a very clear decision, really exercise power and separate herself from the “hidden leader in the National Palace” (Zedillo dixit).
The current government has to make immediate decisions. One of obvious importance is breaking the obvious complicity with organized crime gangs. While it is true that they have generated electoral profitability for Morena, the freedoms that they have given the criminals to operate (hugs and not bullets) have generated a situation of insecurity and abuses in almost the entire country, and now with pressure from the United States. United for the shipment of fentanyl. This has to stop. It is suffocating and dangerous.
Another important decision is to stop this behavior of failing to observe judicial resolutions (including suspension orders) in its tracks. Pretending to ignore what a judge says is an unequivocal sign of a regime in which the constitutional locks have been lost and in fact an authoritarian and tyrannical regime is opted for. This situation generates enormous problems when evaluating what is happening in the country by foreign investors who no longer consider that in Mexico there is a clear and forceful notion of the rule of law. Huge tache.
For all these reasons we consider that this is the last call before the problems inherited from the first Morenoist period become of such weight that the current six-year term becomes unviable only at the beginning of it. There is still time to correct course on these important issues. If they think that by tangling themselves with the national flag the problems will disappear, it is clear that they do not know who Trump is and what he is capable of doing. Seriousness in the face of adversity. We have to stop the madness and put our feet on the ground. Unity based on strategic decisions. No more polarization and deception. A united country with coherent decisions. We must all bet on that. If the president goes that route, she will find automatic sums. If you choose to simulate and emulate your predecessor you will have lost direction and credibility.
