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October 19, 2024
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Tropical Storm Oscar forms: warning about impact in Cuba

Tormenta tropical Oscar y Nadine

AREQUIPA, Peru – The National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued an alert regarding the formation of Oscar, a tropical storm that would affect Cuba in the coming days.

According to the official website According to the entity, Oscar is expected to worsen weather conditions for the southeastern Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, as well as the eastern region of Cuba.

In that sense, heavy rains are forecast for the eastern Cuban provinces on Sunday. Currently, Oscar has maximum sustained winds of 64 kilometers per hour (km/h) and is moving at a speed close to 20 km/h.

The impact of this tropical storm on the Island comes just 10 days after Hurricane Milton brought storm surges, floods and heavy rainfall to Havana and the western region.

Likewise, Oscar would worsen the situation on the Island, marked in recent days by the energy collapse and a massive electrical blackout that has affected the entire national territory. So far, the Cuban Meteorological Institute has not issued information about this system.

Tropical Storm Oscar and its cone (Screenshot: NHC)

In an update to the seasonal forecast, published at the end of August, specialists from the Institute of Meteorology of Cuba reaffirmed their initial projections about the 2024 cyclone season, highlighting a “very active” behavior in the North Atlantic basin, which also includes the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.

Dr. Miriam Teresita Llanes Monteagudo, head of the Institute’s Forecasting Center, detailed the official Granma that, for the rest of the season, the formation of 15 tropical storms is expected in this geographic area, of which nine could evolve into hurricanes.

The analysis details that, of the total number of storms predicted, 12 will develop in the Atlantic ocean area, while three could originate in the Caribbean Sea. The odds that a hurricane originate and intensify in the Caribbean are 85%, and there is a 70% probability that a hurricane originating in the Atlantic will penetrate the Caribbean region.

Furthermore, the danger of Cuba being affected by at least one hurricane is 80%, while the probability of at least one tropical storm impacting the country reaches 90%.

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