In the race towards national elections in Uruguaysurveys have become a crucial reference. With the election date approaching, public opinion polls not only capture a snapshot of the moment, but also play an integral role in the strategy and mood of the candidates and their parties.
Recently, consultations carried out by companies such as Cifra y Equipos have mapped the political landscape, highlighting the Frente Amplio in the first placewith the National Party fighting to maintain its position against the emerging Colorado Party.
The figures revealed by various surveys have instilled a feeling of optimism in Andrés Ojeda’s command. Hoping to overtake the National Party, his campaign members are celebrating what they perceive as a favorable trend. “The only question that matters is which candidate beats the Frente Amplio and Yamandú Orsi in November,” Ojeda argued before the presentation of the 600 list.
The National Party with caution and looking closely at Ojeda
Meanwhile, in the National Party, the poll results have been received with caution. A 21% in the last measurement of Teams has surprised the team Alvaro Delgadowho considers that this number underestimates their true support. Based on the popularity of current president Luis Lacalle Pou and the party’s visible hegemony within the country, Delgado is confident that election day will reveal more robust support.
Among Delgado’s arguments for a possible superior electoral performance, the fact that The current administration maintains approval at around 50%which could translate into a transfer of votes to his campaign. Furthermore, the dominance of the National Party in the municipalities, where it manages 15 of them, is perceived as another factor in its favor. Finally, the absence of a “climate of change” powerful in the streets fuels his expectation of receiving the support of a “silent majority”.
The whites maintain their optimism
Recent history provides the National Party with another reason to remain optimistic. In 1999, the year in which they had their worst electoral performance, they still achieved a 22% votes. Some of its members consider it unlikely that with the current political context and its levels of organization, this year’s result will be lower.
Delgado continues to present proposals aimed at capturing the interest of young people, such as the promise of generate 30 thousand jobs aimed at that population sectorimprove rental subsidies and establish mental health care centers in each department. Despite the uncertain outlook, Delgado maintains a proactive schedule and plans to continue his activities throughout the country, including an upcoming campaign event in Minas.
Friction in the right-wing coalition
Although Delgado has focused on retaining cohesion within his coalition and avoiding direct attacks on Ojeda, the Colorado candidate’s recent actions have caused tensions. An announcement from the former prosecutor Gabriela Fossatinow in the colored rows, describing how distanced himself from the National Partygenerated discomfort among nationalists.
Fossati, claiming to be “100% white”showed his discontent with the configuration of the National Party formula, which was interpreted by some as a game “on the edge of the regulations” by Ojeda.
Tensions are exacerbated by other, more aggressive ads from Ojeda’s team, suggesting that he is the candidate best positioned to beat the Frente Amplio in a possible runoff, which has caused irritation in the National Party. Some have suggested that the Board should evaluate whether it is necessary to take measures to stop these maneuvers.
