Emporiaa consulting firm, prepared its September edition of the Colombia Political Climate Surveywhich measured the perception of Colombians regarding the country’s future in political matters.
Among his main findings, he found that the 63% of respondents say that the future of Colombia for the coming years will be unfavorablecompared to 33% who say it will be favorable.
(You may be interested in: Colombia would grant asylum to Machado and González Urrutia? This is what the foreign minister says).
Likewise, the 63% of those surveyed say that the national economy has deteriorated in the last two monthscompared to 21% who feel that it has improved and 15% who say that it has remained the same.
Colombian economy in the coming years according to AI.
Image of the president and government initiatives
Respondents were also asked about social reforms of President Gustavo Petro’s government, especially health reform.
(Further: Why did the price of diesel fuel have to rise? This is the explanation of the National Government).
Faced with the perception of the presentation of a New health reform project before the Congress of the Republic, 48% said they agreed, while 44% said they disagreed.
The survey also found that 62% of those surveyed disapprove of Gustavo Petro’s administration as presidentwhile 32% said they approved of the head of state’s administration.
Alejandro Char, the mayor with the highest approval rating
Alejandro Char.
As for the leaders of the country’s main cities, Alejandro Char, mayor of Barranquilla, had the highest approval rating, with 77%.
(Further: Petro responds to Efraín Cepeda after talking about votes on tax reform).
The Barranquilla governor is followed Hugo Kerguelen (Monteria)with 76%; Federico Gutierrez (Medellin)with 72%; Jaime Andres Beltran (Bucaramanga)with 55%; Carlos Fernando Galan (Bogota)with 48%; and Alejandro Eder (Cali)with 47%.
Technical data sheet
– Company that performs: Emporia Consultants and Associates
– Company that finances: Emporia Consultants and Associates with its own resources
– Goals: To measure the favorability of the President of the Republic, Gustavo Petro; to measure the favorability of mayors and governors in the country; to know the expectations of the citizens regarding the direction of Colombia, the possible reform to health, to measure the knowledge and favorability of presidential candidates and the intention to vote in possible consultations of different political parties.
– Target population: Men and women over 18 years of age, of all age groups and all socioeconomic levels, residing in the following cities: Bogotá (6,200,000), Medellín (2,040,000), Cali (1,710,000), Barranquilla (957,117), Bucaramanga (471,959), Montería (390,420), according to Dane projections for the year 2023.
– Sampling frame: Area frame per route
– Size and distribution: For the questions corresponding to each city, we took into account the following distribution: Bogotá 400 surveys, Medellín 385 surveys, Cali 385 surveys, Barranquilla 385 surveys, Bucaramanga 384 surveys, Montería 384 surveys. For the national questions, we took a base sample of 1,200 surveys distributed as follows: Bogotá 400 surveys, Medellín 200 randomly selected surveys, Cali 200 randomly selected surveys, Barranquilla 140 randomly selected surveys, Montería 60 randomly selected surveys.
– Sampling type: Simple random sampling.
– Sampling error: For this study we took into account a confidence percentage of 95% and the following margins of error: for the general sample of the 6 cities grouped together +/- 2.03%, for the simple samples by city: Bogotá +/- 4.9%, Medellín +/- 5%, Cali +/- 5%, Barranquilla +/- 5%, Bucaramanga +/- 5%, Montería +/- 5%.
– Target population: Men and women over 18 years of age, of all age groups and all socioeconomic levels, residing in the following cities: Bogotá (6,200,000), Medellín (2,040,000), Cali (1,710,000), Barranquilla (957,117), Bucaramanga (471,959), Montería (390,420), according to Dane projections for the year 2023.
– Application method: Face to face by interception.
– Number of questions: Bogota: 6 questions. Medellin, Cali, Barranquilla, Bucaramanga and Monteria, 7 questions.
– Date of data collection: From August 26 to September 1, 2024
– Number of interviewers: 48
– Topics covered in the survey: Public opinion on the President of the Republic, public opinion on Mayors and Governors, public opinion on the Health Reform, knowledge and favorability of possible candidates for the presidency of the Republic for the year 2026 and voting intention in a hypothetical scenario of consultations of different political parties.
– Validation method: 100% of the surveys were reviewed and 20% were audited.
– Characters or institutions investigated: Refer to the questionnaire.
– Questions raised: Refer to the questionnaire.
– Weighting variables: Sex, age, population, stratum
– Weighting factor: It is the figure that acts as a multiplier to allow the sample data to be taken to the population, that is, to expand the sample. The weighting factor was calculated by dividing the percentage of the universe of the variables age range, sex and socioeconomic level by the percentage of the sample for the same variables. The weighting factor indicates the number of sample units that each respondent represents in order to be proportional or representative of the universe.
PORTFOLIO
