The Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN) continues to “nosedive” according to data from the latest CID Gallup poll, which states that the party of Nicaraguan dictator Daniel Ortega has 12% support among the population in 2024. In 2016 and according to the same firm, the party had 54% support, which dropped to 23% in 2019 and in September 2021 it reached 8%.
The telephone survey conducted last May asked Nicaraguans: “What is your favorite political party?” 80% said none, and only 12% said the Sandinista Front and 8% said other parties. In 2023, the Ortega government was disapproved of by 56% of Nicaraguans, and only 16% expressed sympathy for the FSLN party.
The pollster’s data confirms the discontent of Nicaraguan citizens with a rejection of the Sandinista government during the last three years, with the highest negative peaks in 2022 and 2023 with 58% and 57% respectively. In the same survey, Ortega went from 38% to 34% support in the country.
Nicaraguans do not want a family dynasty
The replacement of the dictatorship and its heir is another issue addressed by the survey, revealing discontent among the population against a dynasty within Nicaragua and, on the contrary, rejecting the repressive form of government that violates fundamental human rights for Nicaraguans who do not support the Ortega-Murillo administration.
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When asked by CID Gallup: “What would happen in the country if Daniel Ortega could not govern?” 23% of respondents said that there would be social protests, another 22% said there would be no changes in the form of government, 22% said there would be elections with international observation, and 27% did not know or did not want to answer.
When asked: “If President Ortega were unable to govern for any reason, who would take over the leadership of the government?” 55% said they did not know, 27% said it would be Rosario Murillo, 4.5% Laureano Ortega, 2.5% Fidel Moreno, and 1.8% Gustavo Porras.
The same question was asked among the Sandinistas: Doubt remains in the majority, with 47%; 30.3% say Rosario Murillo, 14.5% say another, 7.6% Laureano Ortega, 2.8% Fidel Moreno, and 2.1% Gustavo Porras.
Ortega’s repression is rejected by the majority
When asked whether they agreed or disagreed with the regime’s actions against opponents, 55% disagree with the confiscation of property and only 16% approve. Regarding the measure of stripping Nicaraguan nationality, 50% disagree and only 21% agree. Regarding banishments or expulsions from the country, 47% disagree and 21% approve. 48% disapprove of the denial of entry to the country for Nicaraguans and 25% support it. Meanwhile, 45% disagree with the imprisonments, and only 27% support them.
The CID Gallup survey was conducted in Nicaragua between May 3 and 28, 2024. 1,215 citizens from across the country, over 16 years of age and with active cell phones, were interviewed, distributed in Managua (26.9%) and 73.1% in the rest of the country, and was sponsored by the Fundación Sin Límites para el Desarrollo Humano (FSL).
