The prompt visit of the dictator of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ebrahim Raisí, to Nicaragua, has aroused all kinds of expectations regarding the Iranian’s intentions to visit the Central American country, which for the moment could be ruled out is that Iran, talking with Russia manage to attract China to turn Nicaragua into an anti-American enclave, as the dictator Daniel Ortega wishes, according to an expert in international politics consulted by Article 66.
The vice dictator of Nicaragua, Rosario Murillo, confirmed last Thursday, June 8, that the visit to the country of the president of Iran is expected on Tuesday, June 13, as part of a tour of Latin America, which includes his only other friends in the region, Venezuela and Cuba.
The relations of the Ortega-Murillo regime with the most totalitarian dictatorships in the world such as Iran, Russia and China are frowned upon by the West because they consider that they endanger the stability of the continent.
Recently, the political analyst in exile Eliseo Núñez, in an interview with this outlet, opined that Ortega is attracting Washington’s enemies to Central America, “betting on becoming a security problem of such magnitude that he intends to force the US to leave. to negotiate stability in the region with him”, because economic benefits or large cooperation agreements are nowhere to be seen.
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In this sense, the analyst Alberto Cortés, a political researcher at the University of Costa Rica (UCR), considers that the first impression that arises upon learning of the Iranian president’s visit to Nicaragua is that it could be a “diplomatic, protocol action, consistent with the geopolitical line that the dictatorial regime of Ortega and Murillo has followed for several years, aligned with certain states that are, from a global perspective, trying to make a geopolitical counterweight to the Western order”.
For the expert in international politics, it is difficult to predict that this visit will have a real influence in terms of “scale or importance, geopolitical, political and economic in the relationship between Nicaragua and Iran.” He recalled that Nicaragua and Iran have had a strong, solid political relationship.
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“We would have to wait, to see if the visit is really reflected in a change in terms of activities or cooperation, or lines of cooperation and common diplomatic work,” says the analyst.
Cortés considers that it is necessary to carefully observe what can be agreed during the visit of the Iranian president to Nicaragua, especially if there is a “strengthening of lines of military cooperation, in intelligence, in economic activity, in technology or in the nuclear part, what could be read as a threat to the United States and to the region itself.
China would not support Iran and Russia to threaten the US from Nicaragua
Asked about the possibility that Iran, Russia and China converge in Nicaragua to turn this country into a dangerous enclave against the United States, the analyst was categorical in stating that China would not join this adventure.
«Nicaragua is not that important in geopolitical terms. That the three countries are going to agree to transform Nicaragua into an enclave against the United States does not sound familiar to me. China’s orientation is different. I don’t see it as the most likely scenario, that is, China has a different global strategy than the Soviet Union of the 70s and 80s,” she clarified.
He added that the Chinese have a “more economic strategy” and does not see it possible for the Asian Giant to come together in Nicaragua with Iran and Russia, especially since “Russia and Iran are far behind China in the economic part.”
