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November 21, 2022
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Is Leonel lucky?

Valentine jumps into the void

Dominicans frequently use that expression, the use of which is correct since the Royal Spanish Academy defines it: “adj. coloq. Said of a person: That he has good luck. Now, having good luck is cultivated, it doesn’t fall from the sky. We have been together for decades and as a testimony, which I do not think is necessary, I assure you that he is consecrated, persistent, tenacious and tireless in his purposes of serving the progress of the Dominican people.

At this time, Leonel appears in surveys carried out by accredited firms at the request of businessmen, above President Abinader. His positioning is the result of several factors. Just to list a few, the country demands at the head of the State an experienced, competent, well-accompanied and cultured person: he has these qualities and conditions; moreover, he has been tempered like steel when falling and getting up when he was subjected for ten years, since he came from power, to a crossfire and slanderer to get him out of the way.

The second factor is that Abinader and his political organization were able to gain precarious access to Power due to the critical context created by Danilo Medina, then heading the government and the PLD, by trying to exceed constitutional limits and trying to retain control of the State.

The precarious access of Abinader and the PRM begins with their vote. In the 2020 elections, she obtained 52.52% of the 55.29% who voted; the amount entitled was 7,529,932, so only 4,163,275 did; that is, Abinader was elected by 2,154,876, which gives him a low representation, 28.6% of the total with the right.

And if their vote were calculated by the average number of votes in the presidential elections, which is 70%, it is 5,270,952.4, half plus one of this amount would be 2,635,476.2; Instead, he drew 2,154,876, an amount that places him at 40.88% of the average of the participating voters.

In summary, their support is legal, but precarious and unrepresentative, it was 28% of the total number of those registered with the right to vote; and calculated on the average number of voters in a presidential election, he obtained only the equivalent of 40.88%. The Covid-19 pandemic and the context created by Danilo and his leadership gave them victory…

The vertiginous growth of the FP and Leonel Fernández is notorious, clearing the electoral political environment, placing Leonel at this moment two points above President Abinader.

Whoever wants to can be surprised, but the constant work from the FP, strategically placed under the leadership of Leonel, has favored him; This has made it possible for the clumsiness and inexperience exhibited by the governing team to be identified, attention has turned to Leonel and the People’s Force. They have shown this clumsiness and inability on various issues, the most prominent have been those that hurt the most and affect the people, which are crime and criminality, inflation and the economic crisis, education and the impoverishment of family communities and producers of food goods and services.

Abinader is not re-elected. From the Palace, money is spent to impose it, but they will only create facilities for greater corruption, even looking for allies among those who say they are prosecuting for corruption, trying to lower the percentage to elect a president in the first round. They seem to forget that “Leonel Fernández is lucky.”

The entrance Is Leonel lucky? was first published on newspaper the caribbean.

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