Faced with his visible cornering due to the progress of the tax investigations, the president Castle has opted for the alibi of victimization and clientelism in search of the support of certain sectors with the capacity to mobilize.
His recent media appearances, and those of his ministers, allow us to anticipate that he will cling to office until he reaches the brink of the abyss and that he will have no qualms about dusting off the populist and divisive campaign rhetoric.
If the president is not going to resign, then how are we going to get out of the current impasse? Everything seems to indicate that the streets will not light up. The deep polarization and the absence of viable political alternatives demobilize (according to the latest IEP survey, for 47% of Peruvians the situation in the country would be the same or worse in the event of early elections). Why am I marching for the interruption of the presidential mandate or for an advance of elections if there are no decent replacements?, seems to think an important sector of the population.
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Fiscal investigations, for their part, will take a long time (less complex cases could take at least six months) and will reach a point where they will not be able to move forward due to the constitutional provision that prevents an incumbent president from being impeached.
The way out of the crisis is, then, political and falls to Congress. However, this legislature has already shown that it can coexist without remorse in the midst of this precarious balance, while looking sideways as the barrage of evidence of corruption drags the president and his close circle.
It seems that only the revelation of hard evidence directly implicating the president in acts of corruption could exert enough pressure so that Congress stops shying away from its role of political control.