The Federalist Alliance (AF), made up of 10 governors of the PAN, PRI, MC, PRD and one without a party, of which there are only six left after the elections of this 2021, has been disintegrated in fact. The foregoing, indicated the experts José Antonio Crespo and Marcela Bravo Ahuja, will influence that the opposition parties will weaken in the face of the 2022 elections, coupled with the fact that the new fiscal pact for which the governors of said group were fighting could remain in oblivion.
“We are going back to the old days of the PRI, when it controlled all the governors, when the governors bowed to the president (of the Republic), when they did not defend their own rights against the federal government. I mean, this is a setback. We are going, as in many other issues, in reverse ”, said Crespo.
Regarding the recently announced regrouping of the National Conference of Governors (Conago), he said that it means that “most of the governors are increasingly aligned with (Andrés Manuel) López Obrador.
“So, the sense of the Conago, which was to differentiate itself from the president, demand, negotiate, dialogue, as there are more and more governors of Morena and some of the PRI are making an agreement with him, the Conago is going to be rather the opposite of what it was, not an autonomous governing body to confront, criticize, dialogue, demand. What is going to be is to support López Obrador, it is going to be rather a body of support, not of representation of the states but of submission to the president ”.
Attending last week to the LXI meeting of the Conago, held in Villahermosa, Tabasco, headed by President López Obrador, PAN Diego Sinhue Rodríguez, governor of Guanajuato, announced the disappearance of the AF; He said that he analyzes with his counterparts “if we give the Alliance a Christian burial and turn the page.”
Since the Alliance governors raised, in the middle of last year, the need to establish a new fiscal pact, López Obrador agreed with the proposal, as long as it is decided by consensus.
In the opinion of Bravo Ahuja, political analyst at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), the extinction of the AF will have implications such as that the opposition parties, from which the Alliance governors emerged, will lose strength in the face of the governor elections of 2022, because this group was finally constituted prior to the federal and local elections of the year that ends where the union of the PAN, PRI and PRD yielded some fruits such as preventing Morena from rising with the qualified majority in the Chamber of Deputies.
Tax agreement
Asked about the new fiscal pact for which the opposition leaders were fighting, the political scientist José Antonio Crespo affirmed:
“The president does not think he will accept any of that, especially having the strength and support of other governors; Rather, it will be the submission of the state governments to the federal government, for him to re-arrange how much he is going to give to the governors, and he will reward the loyal ones and punish those who are not so loyal.
For Marcela Bravo “the possibility of remaking the fiscal pact is lost because it is not on the government’s agenda and the remaining opposition governors do not have the strength to demand. We are in a stage of centralization where the demand for a more real federalism, supported by a new fiscal pact, is something that is not on the agenda ”.
Background
Initially, 10 state leaders opposed to the regime left the Conago, in September 2020, and formed the AF due to their disagreement with the federal government’s strategy on public security, fighting Covid-19 and the economy to confront the consequences of the health emergency.
At present, those who made up the Federalist Alliance, that is, the governors of Aguascalientes (Martín Orozco, PAN); Coahuila (Miguel Riquelme, PRI); Durango (José Rosas Aispuro, PAN); Guanajuato (Diego Sinhue Rodríguez PAN), Jalisco (Enrique Alfaro, MC) and Tamaulipas (Francisco García Cabeza de Vaca, PAN).
As well as the new leaders – who took office this year and whose states were part of the group of dissident governors – from Chihuahua (María Eugenia Campos, PAN); Colima (Indira Vizcaíno, Morena), Michoacán (Alfredo Ramírez Bedolla, Morena) and Nuevo León (Samuel García, MC) have chosen to join the Conago.
