Havana Cuba. — A few days ago, the journalist, deputy and member of the Central Committee of the Communist Party Humberto Lopez arrived at London’s Heathrow airport as part of the official delegation to the debt default trial being held in the British capital. That same day, an ordinary Cuban, a perfect stranger, arrived in the United States favored by the so-called “Humanitarian Parole”, the brand new and controversial strategy of the US government to stop the bleeding of illegal immigrants from Cuba and other countries. These two events may be the key to what is expected: the gray horizon with black stitching that Cuban society will face in the year 2023.
Returning to the North American strategy of the humanitarian parole: the youngest, most intelligent and healthiest of our country is joyfully offered to the arms of the “empire”. Cuba, increasingly annexationist, will suffer another significant loss of population this year.
If in 2022 more than 320,000 Cubans arrived in the United States, this year the figure could be repeated, or it could be even higher. The huge queues for passports at the Immigration and Immigration offices are a sign of the catastrophe that is coming. The most dramatic thing is that more than half of those who leave Cuba are professionals and young people. The country will spiral into the abyss faster than in the last five years. And that is a lot to say.
In these circumstances, the Cuban State will resort to more radical measures to maintain its balance. It can be with reforms, repression or with more ideological rattle. In previous years there were only timid reforms and very harsh repression. Just a few days ago, 15 young 9/11 protesters were sentenced to more than 75 years in prison combined.
In 2023, the poor will be poorer, the number of madmen, beggars and the homeless on the streets of our country will increase. With this, crime, violence and repression will increase. However, the rich will get richer, as long as they show loyalty to the regime. They will drive big cars, buy mansions and go on vacations to the United States and Europe.
Will we be a failed state? It is likely, especially if the brutal and desired privatization of services and productions is imposed in a highly aged society.
The little that exists will be negotiated between the same elite that will take over the companies and businesses, as happened in post-Soviet Russia or in the Nicaragua of the Sandinista piñata. That, somehow, is already happening in Cuba.
Until a few years ago, citizen security was a source of pride for the regime. Not anymore. By increasing the crime, it will be necessary to make new calls for police and military. But if young people flee the country before reaching military age (18), who will be the new recruits?
It is commented, it is vox populi, that female military service will be imposed on girls who obtain university degrees. Likewise, it would increase the period for men to 24 months for those with university degrees and 36 months for others.
The Cuban State owes the 11,000 virgins. And the trial in London, where regime spokesman Humberto López went, could have even worse consequences for Cuba if the case is lost.
The Cuban legal system does not guarantee private property. The spokesmen for the regime do not let go of the cant of the socialist state company. Meanwhile, a new law authorizes the intervention of properties in the interest of the State.
Popular wisdom says that what starts badly ends badly. This year started badly for Cuba. And it can end worse, unless something gets in the way on terms beyond mere mortal comprehension.
OPINION ARTICLE
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